← Smart money
0x3d79…28bd
SharpEdge
+3.6pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
8% @ 4.2¢
Brier
0.051
Resolved
1481
Avg size
$12
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (7/23) | -12% | 23 |
| Politics | 29% (4/14) | -16% | 14 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (7/23)
- ROI
- -12%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (4/14)
- ROI
- -16%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
29% hit · 11/38- No$1.8k @ 75.7¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 5.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- No$1.1k @ 18.8¢
- Yes$100 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 2.5¢
- No$1.6k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.2¢
- No$740 @ 31.1¢
- Yes$169 @ 64.8¢
- Yes$150 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$148 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$258 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 86.7¢
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?LostYes$69 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 8.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 81.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
- No$2.1k @ 35.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$120 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$86 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$310 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$471 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$390 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$109 @ 2.2¢
- No$2 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 18.4¢
- Up$18 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$198 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 10.1¢
- No$1.2k @ 69.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | — | Up | $2 | 23.0¢ |
- Up$2 @ 23.0¢