0x3d47…9383

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3d473f32d9461e4e6ec6ed45863b799d4d769383
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.7pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

56% @ 47.0¢

Brier

0.192

Resolved

219

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (73/137)	+8%	137
Sports	50% (6/12)	-1%	12
Crypto	40% (4/10)	-35%	10
Politics	57% (4/7)	-1%	7
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+41%	1

Other137 bets
Hit rate
53% (73/137)
ROI
+8%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
-1%
Crypto10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
-35%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
-1%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+41%

Track record

52% hit · 88/168

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	$1	49.0¢	Lost
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5	Under	$2	49.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	$1	49.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Wizards	Wizards	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$5	66.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Kings	Pacers	$4	41.9¢	Lost
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	$6	21.0¢	Lost
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Predators vs. Canucks	Canucks	$5	40.9¢	Won
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Nets vs. Hawks	Nets	$14	11.2¢	Lost
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Spurs	$5	47.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$5	47.4¢	Lost
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$5	64.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Vici Gaming	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?	Yes	$5	65.3¢	Won
ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse	Thanaphat Boosarawongse	$5	50.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$5	32.0¢	Won
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	$5	18.0¢	Lost
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	Yes	$5	15.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?	No	$1	55.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$5	74.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	No	$1	55.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	Yes	$5	57.0¢	Lost
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	56.0¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	Gen.G	$15	47.0¢	Lost
Utah vs. Blackhawks	Utah	$5	67.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	$2	58.0¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$5	59.0¢	Won
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	$45	76.1¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$5	38.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?	Yes	$5	80.0¢	Won
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	$10	37.8¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies	Mavericks	$5	67.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$10	58.4¢	Won
ITF Bali: Alexander Chang vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse	Thanaphat Boosarawongse	$5	63.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5	Over	$5	54.0¢	Won
Oilers vs. Avalanche	Oilers	$5	38.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 20?	Yes	$3	52.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20?	No	$1	58.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	$25	27.1¢	Won
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?	Yes	$5	15.9¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	$15	46.0¢	Won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)	Cavaliers	$5	52.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$26	72.0¢	Won
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?	No	$5	58.0¢	Won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals	Louisville Cardinals	$5	67.0¢	Won

Pistons vs. 76ersLost
76ers$1 @ 49.0¢
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5Lost
Under$2 @ 49.0¢
Warriors vs. SunsLost
Warriors$1 @ 24.0¢
Timberwolves vs. MagicWon
Timberwolves$1 @ 49.0¢
Raptors vs. WizardsLost
Wizards$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?Won
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 66.0¢
Pacers vs. KingsLost
Pacers$4 @ 41.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Lost
No$6 @ 21.0¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
LGD Gaming$0 @ 1.0¢
Predators vs. CanucksWon
Canucks$5 @ 40.9¢
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$5 @ 51.0¢
Nets vs. HawksLost
Nets$14 @ 11.2¢
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Lost
Spurs$5 @ 47.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 47.4¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
No$5 @ 64.0¢
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Vici Gaming$5 @ 44.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?Won
Yes$5 @ 65.3¢
ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat BoosarawongseWon
Thanaphat Boosarawongse$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?Lost
No$5 @ 18.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?Won
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$5 @ 74.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?Lost
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?Lost
Yes$5 @ 57.0¢
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Won
Under$5 @ 56.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierLost
Gen.G$15 @ 47.0¢
Utah vs. BlackhawksLost
Utah$5 @ 67.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Lost
No$2 @ 58.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
No$5 @ 59.0¢
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Won
Under$5 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?Won
Yes$45 @ 76.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 38.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?Won
Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
Mavericks vs. GrizzliesLost
Grizzlies$10 @ 37.8¢
Mavericks vs. GrizzliesWon
Mavericks$5 @ 67.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Won
No$10 @ 58.4¢
ITF Bali: Alexander Chang vs Thanaphat BoosarawongseWon
Thanaphat Boosarawongse$5 @ 63.0¢
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Won
Over$5 @ 54.0¢
Oilers vs. AvalancheWon
Oilers$5 @ 38.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 52.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20?Lost
No$1 @ 58.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Won
Yes$25 @ 27.1¢
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.9¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Falcons$15 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Won
Cavaliers$5 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$26 @ 72.0¢
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?Won
No$5 @ 58.0¢
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsWon
Louisville Cardinals$5 @ 67.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$30	17.0¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$20	9.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$15	24.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$5	88.0¢
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5	Sports	Under	$2	49.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$2	45.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$2	44.0¢
Pistons vs. 76ers	Sports	76ers	$1	49.0¢

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$30 @ 17.0¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$15 @ 24.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 88.0¢
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5Sports
Under$2 @ 49.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Crypto
No$2 @ 45.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?Crypto
No$2 @ 44.0¢
Pistons vs. 76ersSports
76ers$1 @ 49.0¢