0x3d45…020f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3d4556d77c616e1f88793b68c8ee5187d086020f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.8pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

22% @ 20.2¢

Brier

0.138

Resolved

5558

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (655/2562)	+14%	2562
Sports	27% (7/26)	+22%	26
Politics	8% (1/13)	-87%	13
Science	50% (3/6)	+41%	6
Economy	33% (1/3)	+28%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other2562 bets
Hit rate
26% (655/2562)
ROI
+14%
Sports26 bets
Hit rate
27% (7/26)
ROI
+22%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
8% (1/13)
ROI
-87%
Science6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+41%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+28%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

26% hit · 667/2613

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Colts vs. Vikings	Colts	$1	31.0¢	Lost
Giants vs. Texans	Giants	$5	24.0¢	Won
West Virginia vs. TCU	West Virginia	$5	24.0¢	Won
Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	Pittsburgh	$4	8.0¢	Lost
California vs. SMU	California	$5	9.0¢	Lost
UMass vs. UConn	UMass	$4	14.0¢	Lost
East Carolina vs. Memphis	East Carolina	$4	22.0¢	Lost
Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	$4	21.0¢	Lost
Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chargers	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	$0	14.0¢	Won
Jets vs. Patriots	Jets	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Bengals vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	$5	24.0¢	Lost
Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	$5	23.0¢	Lost
Ottawa Redblacks vs. British Columbia Lions	Ottawa Redblacks	$1	12.0¢	Lost
0x00ab5636…	Yes	$4	21.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?	No	$5	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on July 11?	Yes	$3	30.0¢	Lost
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Yoon arrested before September?	No	$6	22.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Transgender" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Lost
Will the next pop be elected in 6 days?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Las Vegas Raiders finish with the worst record in the NFL?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Lost
Lily Phillips has sex with between 250-499 men in a day?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Won
Will ICE detain 500-599 people on January 28?	Yes	$3	2.0¢	Lost
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 9?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks	Trail Blazers	$3	24.0¢	Lost
Will 'TEXAS HOLD 'EM' win Song of the Year?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$6	14.9¢	Lost
0x02026f03…	Yes	$4	33.0¢	Lost
Will Margaret Qualley win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Ye divorce before April?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on October 10?	Yes	$3	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on December 19?	Yes	$4	25.0¢	Won
Saints vs. Seahawks	Saints	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?	Yes	$3	9.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?	Yes	$9	74.5¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$8	41.7¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
0x0307657d…	Yes	$4	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 5?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Nets vs. Cavaliers	Nets	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?	Yes	$4	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 14?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Lost
$PENGU market cap (FDV) >$10b one day after launch?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 17?	Yes	$6	26.5¢	Lost
James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?	No	$3	33.0¢	Lost
Will Bu Xiangzhi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Will Pierpaolo Piccioli be named the next creative director of Versace?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost

Colts vs. VikingsLost
Colts$1 @ 31.0¢
Giants vs. TexansWon
Giants$5 @ 24.0¢
West Virginia vs. TCUWon
West Virginia$5 @ 24.0¢
Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)Lost
Pittsburgh$4 @ 8.0¢
California vs. SMULost
California$5 @ 9.0¢
UMass vs. UConnLost
UMass$4 @ 14.0¢
East Carolina vs. MemphisLost
East Carolina$4 @ 22.0¢
Commanders vs. 49ersLost
Commanders$4 @ 21.0¢
Chargers vs. ChiefsLost
Chargers$1 @ 19.0¢
Cardinals vs. RamsWon
Cardinals$0 @ 14.0¢
Jets vs. PatriotsLost
Jets$5 @ 25.0¢
Bengals vs. DolphinsLost
Dolphins$5 @ 24.0¢
Eagles vs. JaguarsLost
Eagles$5 @ 23.0¢
Ottawa Redblacks vs. British Columbia LionsLost
Ottawa Redblacks$1 @ 12.0¢
0x00ab5636…Won
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Won
No$5 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on July 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Yoon arrested before September?Lost
No$6 @ 22.3¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
Will the next pop be elected in 6 days?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will the Las Vegas Raiders finish with the worst record in the NFL?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Lily Phillips has sex with between 250-499 men in a day?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?Won
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Will ICE detain 500-599 people on January 28?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. KnicksLost
Trail Blazers$3 @ 24.0¢
Will 'TEXAS HOLD 'EM' win Song of the Year?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$6 @ 14.9¢
0x02026f03…Lost
Yes$4 @ 33.0¢
Will Margaret Qualley win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Ye divorce before April?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on October 10?Lost
Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on December 19?Won
Yes$4 @ 25.0¢
Saints vs. SeahawksLost
Saints$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?Won
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?Won
Yes$9 @ 74.5¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$8 @ 41.7¢
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
0x0307657d…Lost
Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 5?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Nets vs. CavaliersLost
Nets$2 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?Lost
Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 14?Lost
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
$PENGU market cap (FDV) >$10b one day after launch?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 17?Lost
Yes$6 @ 26.5¢
James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?Lost
No$3 @ 33.0¢
Will Bu Xiangzhi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will Pierpaolo Piccioli be named the next creative director of Versace?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	Yes	$20	8.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	No	$6	37.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$4	8.0¢
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	2.8¢

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
Yes$20 @ 8.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
No$6 @ 37.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 2.8¢