← Smart money
0x3c34…3d3e
ProfitableEdge
+27.5pp
ROI
+60%
Win rate
68% @ 40.5¢
Brier
0.294
Resolved
78
Avg size
$10
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 80% (8/10) | +40% | 10 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (3/9) | +4% | 9 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +149% | 2 |
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (8/10)
- ROI
- +40%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (3/9)
- ROI
- +4%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +149%
Track record
62% hit · 13/21- No$79 @ 59.7¢
- Yes$9 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 52.0¢
- No$70 @ 11.4¢
- No$10 @ 20.0¢
- No$40 @ 66.0¢
- No$83 @ 26.5¢
- No$78 @ 74.5¢
- No$80 @ 64.6¢
- No$60 @ 54.0¢
- No$14 @ 62.9¢
- Yes$50 @ 38.3¢
- No$39 @ 43.5¢
- No$40 @ 43.0¢
- No$59 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$73 @ 35.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 23.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.4¢
- No$58 @ 69.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $101 | 79.4¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $92 | 52.0¢ |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $77 | 33.0¢ |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $67 | 21.3¢ |
| Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $26 | 12.4¢ |
- Yes$101 @ 79.4¢
- No$92 @ 52.0¢
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$77 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 21.3¢
- Yes$26 @ 12.4¢