0x3c2a…3d98

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3c2acf8a799bd68a8449b340cada1ccb5cb53d98
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.0pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

33% @ 37.9¢

Brier

0.176

Resolved

672

Avg size

$14

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (75/153)	-6%	153
Sports	41% (25/61)	+66%	61
Politics	50% (3/6)	-27%	6
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other153 bets
Hit rate
49% (75/153)
ROI
-6%
Sports61 bets
Hit rate
41% (25/61)
ROI
+66%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-27%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

46% hit · 103/222

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	$5	48.8¢	Won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Colorado Rockies	$85	84.5¢	Won
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$5	13.6¢	Lost
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	$26	52.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$179	59.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Under	$21	73.9¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$21	42.4¢	Won
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$10	49.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$4	19.5¢	Won
76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	$13	25.2¢	Lost
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)	Raptors	$34	82.2¢	Won
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	$29	29.0¢	Lost
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	San Diego Padres	$43	85.0¢	Won
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$13	44.3¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$53	5.3¢	Lost
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aryna Sabalenka	$10	49.0¢	Won
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	$6	61.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$28	27.0¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$40	66.8¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Pittsburgh Pirates	$65	65.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$39	35.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 15?	Yes	$3	56.0¢	Won
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	Yes	$125	7.9¢	Lost
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	Toronto Blue Jays	$80	89.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$13	50.0¢	Lost
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres	Cincinnati Reds	$5	46.0¢	Won
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	$89	88.9¢	Won
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor Townsend	Coco Gauff	$15	81.0¢	Won
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	$44	74.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Lost
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	$17	57.1¢	Won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Katerina Siniakova	$82	81.1¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$233	38.7¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$8	7.8¢	Lost
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$65	59.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?	Yes	$22	11.0¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli	Roberto Bautista Agut	$77	77.0¢	Won
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei	Chinese Taipei	$99	22.0¢	Won
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	No	$67	67.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$107	39.6¢	Lost
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)	Atlanta Braves	$24	60.3¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5	Under	$16	65.6¢	Won
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$15	30.0¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	Jasmine Paolini	$42	76.0¢	Won

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Won
Yes$5 @ 48.8¢
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWon
Colorado Rockies$85 @ 84.5¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.6¢
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lost
Thunder$26 @ 52.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$179 @ 59.0¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Won
Under$21 @ 73.9¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$21 @ 42.4¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$4 @ 19.5¢
76ers vs. KnicksLost
76ers$13 @ 25.2¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Won
Raptors$34 @ 82.2¢
Warriors vs. ClippersLost
Warriors$29 @ 29.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesWon
San Diego Padres$43 @ 85.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$13 @ 44.3¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$53 @ 5.3¢
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola BartunkovaWon
Aryna Sabalenka$10 @ 49.0¢
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola BartunkovaLost
Nikola Bartunkova$6 @ 61.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$28 @ 27.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$40 @ 66.8¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona DiamondbacksWon
Pittsburgh Pirates$65 @ 65.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$39 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 15?Won
Yes$3 @ 56.0¢
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Lost
Yes$125 @ 7.9¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles AngelsWon
Toronto Blue Jays$80 @ 89.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
Netherlands$13 @ 50.0¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresWon
Cincinnati Reds$5 @ 46.0¢
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego PadresWon
Chicago White Sox$89 @ 88.9¢
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor TownsendWon
Coco Gauff$15 @ 81.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Lost
Knicks$44 @ 74.0¢
Knicks vs. CavaliersWon
Knicks$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Magic vs. PistonsWon
Magic$17 @ 57.1¢
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Lost
Pistons$35 @ 35.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Anna KalinskayaLost
Katerina Siniakova$82 @ 81.1¢
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Rockets vs. LakersLost
Lakers$233 @ 38.7¢
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.8¢
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$65 @ 59.0¢
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?Lost
Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco MaestrelliWon
Roberto Bautista Agut$77 @ 77.0¢
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese TaipeiWon
Chinese Taipei$99 @ 22.0¢
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Won
No$67 @ 67.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$107 @ 39.6¢
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Lost
Atlanta Braves$24 @ 60.3¢
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Won
Under$16 @ 65.6¢
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia JeanjeanWon
Jasmine Paolini$42 @ 76.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$457	26.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$6	62.0¢
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$2	22.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$457 @ 26.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$2 @ 22.5¢