0x3b78…5ce6

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics133 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (91/133)

  ROI

  +13%

• Other130 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (74/130)

  ROI

  +1%

• Sports30 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (15/30)

  ROI

  +22%

• Geopolitics26 bets

  Hit rate

  73% (19/26)

  ROI

  +9%

• Crypto23 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (11/23)

  ROI

  -4%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +28%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +3%

• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 86.0¢
• Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWon
  No$14 @ 76.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$4 @ 35.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
  No$6 @ 63.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$44 @ 81.8¢
• Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Lost
  No$7 @ 41.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$41 @ 71.9¢
• Avalanche vs. KingsWon
  Avalanche$40 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?Won
  No$20 @ 68.3¢
• Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
• GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
  No$22 @ 69.8¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
  No$10 @ 50.9¢
• Warriors vs. KingsLost
  Warriors$50 @ 59.0¢
• Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?Lost
  No$4 @ 60.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
  No$1 @ 12.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$11 @ 71.7¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$92 @ 72.4¢
• Will Solana dip to $70 in May?Won
  No$10 @ 83.3¢
• Will Solana dip to $70 in May?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 7.1¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$55 @ 39.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 14.1¢
• Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?Won
  Yes$4 @ 68.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
  No$7 @ 73.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$46 @ 78.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
• Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 45.0¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
• Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Won
  Yes$4 @ 69.0¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
  No$2 @ 17.2¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  Yes$14 @ 73.1¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 15.2¢
• Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?Won
  No$13 @ 84.7¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$76 @ 87.5¢
• Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
  Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Lost
  No$8 @ 55.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Won
  Yes$65 @ 59.3¢
• Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesLost
  Nuggets$10 @ 17.5¢
• Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Won
  Yes$15 @ 56.0¢
• Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Lost
  No$6 @ 57.5¢
• GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
  No$18 @ 81.5¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Won
  No$44 @ 85.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$27 @ 55.2¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 55.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 12.8¢
• Clippers vs. Trail BlazersLost
  Clippers$25 @ 48.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$66 @ 76.8¢
• Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Lost
  No$3 @ 46.0¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
  No$52 @ 66.1¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??Won
  No$4 @ 88.0¢

Current positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$41 @ 54.8¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$29 @ 83.4¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$28 @ 46.0¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 71.8¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  Yes$19 @ 25.8¢
• Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$18 @ 91.1¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$17 @ 67.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$16 @ 63.3¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$15 @ 86.0¢
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics
  Yes$15 @ 87.8¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$15 @ 96.0¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$15 @ 70.0¢
• Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
  No$15 @ 95.0¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$11 @ 80.8¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 59.0¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 60.9¢
• Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?Politics
  No$8 @ 71.0¢
• Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 63.0¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 50.0¢
• Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$5 @ 95.0¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$5 @ 78.0¢
• Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
• Trump on $250 bill this year?Politics
  No$5 @ 91.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4 @ 77.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 84.0¢
• Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4 @ 70.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$1 @ 50.0¢