0x3a70…76b5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3a707ef97d3003e789eeac04cc9aab656d6176b5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.1pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

43% @ 40.1¢

Brier

0.212

Resolved

1496

Avg size

$50

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (104/195)	+21%	195
Sports	35% (27/77)	-45%	77
Science	100% (1/1)	+265%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+48%	1

Other195 bets
Hit rate
53% (104/195)
ROI
+21%
Sports77 bets
Hit rate
35% (27/77)
ROI
-45%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+265%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+48%

Track record

49% hit · 133/274

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Florida International vs. Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State	$60	54.0¢	Won
Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	$96	32.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5	Under	$692	57.7¢	Lost
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac	Tomas Machac	$102	33.0¢	Won
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz	Zizou Bergs	$105	10.5¢	Lost
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	$54	54.0¢	Lost
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	$51	63.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	$195	78.0¢	Won
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel	Emiliana Arango	$80	80.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$102	43.0¢	Won
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	0.5¢	Lost
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Knicks	$110	55.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	$85	15.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	Yes	$36	24.0¢	Lost
Kraken vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	$720	72.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	Over	$40	40.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	Under	$49	49.0¢	Lost
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lucia Bronzetti	$304	30.4¢	Won
Suzhou: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	$79	21.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$8	66.0¢	Won
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu	Thijs Boogaard	$329	28.5¢	Won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5	Under	$924	57.5¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5	Over	$510	51.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$736	14.3¢	Lost
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura	Kyoka Okamura	$52	18.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	$521	57.8¢	Won
Libema Open, Qualification: Robin Montgomery vs Joanna Garland	Robin Montgomery	$143	50.7¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	$122	38.5¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5	Over	$30	61.0¢	Lost
Cowboys vs. Giants	Giants	$46	58.0¢	Won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Milwaukee Brewers	$10	66.0¢	Won
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5	Under	$36	64.0¢	Won
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego	Lorenzo Sonego	$610	61.0¢	Won
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	$491	48.4¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	$93	55.0¢	Won
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Adrian Mannarino	$59	36.4¢	Won
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	$54	45.8¢	Lost
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov	Sho Shimabukuro	$48	48.0¢	Won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Knicks	$280	56.0¢	Won
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Buvaysar Gadamauri	Buvaysar Gadamauri	$277	46.0¢	Lost
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov	Maxim Zhukov	$52	15.0¢	Lost
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis	David Jorda Sanchis	$550	55.0¢	Won
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$430	66.5¢	Won
Braga: Tiago Pereira vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Pol Martin Tiffon	$171	33.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$50	14.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$41	5.5¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	$1.0k	51.0¢	Won
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs	James McCabe	$24	3.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$51	66.0¢	Lost

Florida International vs. Jacksonville StateWon
Jacksonville State$60 @ 54.0¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep SonmezLost
Zeynep Sonmez$96 @ 32.0¢
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Lost
Under$692 @ 57.7¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas MachacWon
Tomas Machac$102 @ 33.0¢
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor FritzLost
Zizou Bergs$105 @ 10.5¢
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lost
Thunder$54 @ 54.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesWon
Philadelphia Phillies$51 @ 63.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AWon
Team Falcons$195 @ 78.0¢
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella SeidelWon
Emiliana Arango$80 @ 80.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$102 @ 43.0¢
Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesLost
New York Yankees$100 @ 50.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Won
Knicks$110 @ 55.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$85 @ 15.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 24.0¢
Kraken vs. Golden KnightsWon
Golden Knights$720 @ 72.0¢
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Won
Over$40 @ 40.0¢
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Lost
Under$49 @ 49.0¢
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia BronzettiWon
Lucia Bronzetti$304 @ 30.4¢
Suzhou: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina KalievaLost
Aliaksandra Sasnovich$79 @ 21.0¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$8 @ 66.0¢
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing WuWon
Thijs Boogaard$329 @ 28.5¢
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Lost
Under$924 @ 57.5¢
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5Won
Over$510 @ 51.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$736 @ 14.3¢
Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka OkamuraWon
Kyoka Okamura$52 @ 18.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Won
Over$521 @ 57.8¢
Libema Open, Qualification: Robin Montgomery vs Joanna GarlandWon
Robin Montgomery$143 @ 50.7¢
Knicks vs. SpursLost
Spurs$122 @ 38.5¢
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$30 @ 61.0¢
Cowboys vs. GiantsWon
Giants$46 @ 58.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesWon
Milwaukee Brewers$10 @ 66.0¢
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Won
Under$36 @ 64.0¢
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo SonegoWon
Lorenzo Sonego$610 @ 61.0¢
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy PaulLost
Tommy Paul$491 @ 48.4¢
Hurricanes vs. CanadiensWon
Hurricanes$93 @ 55.0¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio CobolliWon
Adrian Mannarino$59 @ 36.4¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio CobolliLost
Flavio Cobolli$54 @ 45.8¢
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij RodionovWon
Sho Shimabukuro$48 @ 48.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Won
Knicks$280 @ 56.0¢
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Buvaysar GadamauriLost
Buvaysar Gadamauri$277 @ 46.0¢
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim ZhukovLost
Maxim Zhukov$52 @ 15.0¢
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda SanchisWon
David Jorda Sanchis$550 @ 55.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$430 @ 66.5¢
Braga: Tiago Pereira vs Pol Martin TiffonLost
Pol Martin Tiffon$171 @ 33.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 14.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$41 @ 5.5¢
Knicks vs. CavaliersWon
Knicks$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou BergsWon
James McCabe$24 @ 3.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$51 @ 66.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Florida International vs. Jacksonville State	Sports	Jacksonville State	$60	54.0¢

Florida International vs. Jacksonville StateSports
Jacksonville State$60 @ 54.0¢