0x39fd…7d31

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x39fd7f7e5d025a0c442cb89a773f314f81807d31
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.8pp

ROI

+44%

Win rate

66% @ 52.3¢

Brier

0.211

Resolved

685

Avg size

$40

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	69% (139/202)	+44%	202
Politics	96% (27/28)	+14%	28

Other202 bets
Hit rate
69% (139/202)
ROI
+44%
Politics28 bets
Hit rate
96% (27/28)
ROI
+14%

Track record

72% hit · 166/230

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	$5	91.0¢	Won
Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	$10	92.5¢	Won
Will Yanick Godbout win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$35	98.7¢	Won
Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$82	93.6¢	Won
Will Éloïse Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$173	98.2¢	Won
Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$12	93.0¢	Won
Will Charles Paquin win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$9	98.8¢	Won
Will Marcos Archambault win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$30	96.1¢	Won
Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$99	95.0¢	Won
Will Eric Girard win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$9	97.0¢	Won
Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$93	98.8¢	Won
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$146	94.2¢	Won
Will Sonia Ziadé win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$84	97.8¢	Won
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$135	96.5¢	Won
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$352	80.4¢	Won
Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$711	78.6¢	Won
Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$36	58.5¢	Won
Will Jean-François Cloutier win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$2	41.0¢	Lost
Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$326	98.0¢	Won
Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$7	96.0¢	Won
Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$19	93.3¢	Won
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$128	98.0¢	Won
Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$15	97.0¢	Won
Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$46	94.1¢	Won
Will PCQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	No	$63	96.5¢	Won
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	$172	76.9¢	Won
Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$183	98.6¢	Won
Will Nancy Joannette win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?	No	$20	99.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Thank You" or "Please" 15+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?	Yes	$62	77.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Boat" or "Terrorist" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?	Yes	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Season" this week? (December 8 - 14)	Yes	$6	56.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$116	50.9¢	Won
Will Dell say "Windows 10" during earnings call?	No	$24	39.4¢	Won
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?	Yes	$25	74.9¢	Won
Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	$5	1.3¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?	No	$7	1.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Walmart" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?	No	$6	64.0¢	Won
Will Leavitt say "President" 77+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	$10	9.7¢	Lost
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	$242	42.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$605	78.5¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" at AmericaFest events on December 21?	No	$239	72.1¢	Won
Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?	No	$17	78.0¢	Won
Will "Olympics" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?	Yes	$45	71.0¢	Lost
Will Leavitt say "Go" 7+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	$53	7.3¢	Lost
Will Leavitt say "Go" 7+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	$582	83.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA say "TSMC" during earnings call?	Yes	$29	71.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	No	$90	72.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Biden" during call with Service Members on November 27?	Yes	$528	75.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?	Yes	$150	71.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hellhole" or "Third World" this week? (December 1 - 7)	Yes	$21	41.0¢	Won

Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Won
No$5 @ 91.0¢
Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Won
Yes$10 @ 92.5¢
Will Yanick Godbout win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$35 @ 98.7¢
Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$82 @ 93.6¢
Will Éloïse Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$173 @ 98.2¢
Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$12 @ 93.0¢
Will Charles Paquin win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$9 @ 98.8¢
Will Marcos Archambault win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$30 @ 96.1¢
Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$99 @ 95.0¢
Will Eric Girard win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$9 @ 97.0¢
Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$93 @ 98.8¢
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$146 @ 94.2¢
Will Sonia Ziadé win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$84 @ 97.8¢
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$135 @ 96.5¢
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$352 @ 80.4¢
Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$711 @ 78.6¢
Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$36 @ 58.5¢
Will Jean-François Cloutier win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢
Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$326 @ 98.0¢
Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$7 @ 96.0¢
Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$19 @ 93.3¢
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$128 @ 98.0¢
Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$15 @ 97.0¢
Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$46 @ 94.1¢
Will PCQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Won
No$63 @ 96.5¢
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Won
Yes$172 @ 76.9¢
Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$183 @ 98.6¢
Will Nancy Joannette win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?Won
No$20 @ 99.5¢
Will Trump say "Thank You" or "Please" 15+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?Won
Yes$62 @ 77.0¢
Will Trump say "Boat" or "Terrorist" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?Won
Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump say "Season" this week? (December 8 - 14)Won
Yes$6 @ 56.0¢
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$116 @ 50.9¢
Will Dell say "Windows 10" during earnings call?Won
No$24 @ 39.4¢
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?Won
Yes$25 @ 74.9¢
Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?Lost
No$7 @ 1.3¢
Will Trump say "Walmart" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?Won
No$6 @ 64.0¢
Will Leavitt say "President" 77+ times during the next White House press briefing?Lost
No$10 @ 9.7¢
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Won
Yes$242 @ 42.6¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$605 @ 78.5¢
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" at AmericaFest events on December 21?Won
No$239 @ 72.1¢
Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Won
No$17 @ 78.0¢
Will "Olympics" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?Lost
Yes$45 @ 71.0¢
Will Leavitt say "Go" 7+ times during the next White House press briefing?Lost
No$53 @ 7.3¢
Will Leavitt say "Go" 7+ times during the next White House press briefing?Won
Yes$582 @ 83.0¢
Will NVIDIA say "TSMC" during earnings call?Won
Yes$29 @ 71.0¢
Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Lost
No$90 @ 72.9¢
Will Trump say "Biden" during call with Service Members on November 27?Won
Yes$528 @ 75.4¢
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Won
Yes$150 @ 71.3¢
Will Trump say "Hellhole" or "Third World" this week? (December 1 - 7)Won
Yes$21 @ 41.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	61.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$906	17.1¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	Yes	$880	31.4¢
Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$711	78.6¢
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	No	$352	80.4¢
Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	No	$326	98.0¢
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?	Politics	Yes	$272	85.1¢
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?	Politics	Yes	$243	90.0¢
Will Éloïse Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$173	98.2¢
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$166	39.1¢
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$146	94.2¢
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	No	$135	96.5¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 62-66%?	Politics	No	$133	94.1¢
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$128	98.0¢
Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida?	Politics	No	$113	78.0¢
Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$99	95.0¢
Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$93	98.8¢
Will Sonia Ziadé win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$84	97.8¢
Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	No	$82	93.6¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 70-74%?	Politics	No	$75	77.2¢
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?	Politics	Yes	$54	89.5¢
Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$46	94.1¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 66-70%?	Politics	Yes	$45	83.0¢
Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$36	58.5¢
Will Yanick Godbout win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	No	$35	98.7¢
Will Marcos Archambault win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$30	96.1¢
Will Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?	Politics	Yes	$29	72.0¢
Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Politics	Yes	$25	96.0¢
Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$19	93.3¢
Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	Politics	No	$15	97.0¢

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 61.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$906 @ 17.1¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
Yes$880 @ 31.4¢
Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$711 @ 78.6¢
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
No$352 @ 80.4¢
Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
No$326 @ 98.0¢
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?Politics
Yes$272 @ 85.1¢
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?Politics
Yes$243 @ 90.0¢
Will Éloïse Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$173 @ 98.2¢
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$166 @ 39.1¢
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$146 @ 94.2¢
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
No$135 @ 96.5¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 62-66%?Politics
No$133 @ 94.1¢
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$128 @ 98.0¢
Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida?Politics
No$113 @ 78.0¢
Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$99 @ 95.0¢
Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$93 @ 98.8¢
Will Sonia Ziadé win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$84 @ 97.8¢
Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
No$82 @ 93.6¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 70-74%?Politics
No$75 @ 77.2¢
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?Politics
Yes$54 @ 89.5¢
Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$46 @ 94.1¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 66-70%?Politics
Yes$45 @ 83.0¢
Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$36 @ 58.5¢
Will Yanick Godbout win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
No$35 @ 98.7¢
Will Marcos Archambault win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$30 @ 96.1¢
Will Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?Politics
Yes$29 @ 72.0¢
Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics
Yes$25 @ 96.0¢
Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$19 @ 93.3¢
Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?Politics
No$15 @ 97.0¢