← Smart money
0x399d…abcc
ProfitableEdge
+48.3pp
ROI
+544%
Win rate
62% @ 13.3¢
Brier
0.544
Resolved
159
Avg size
$8
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 57% (4/7) | +1150% | 7 |
| Other | 17% (1/6) | +32% | 6 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +1150%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- +32%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
33% hit · 5/15| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Njoku play for Cincinnati Bengals in 2026-27? | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $35 | 6.0¢ | Lost |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | $42 | 16.2¢ | Lost |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $35 | 45.4¢ | Won |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $111 | 35.2¢ | Won |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $351 | 5.0¢ | Won |
| Packers vs. Bears | Bears | $196 | 45.9¢ | Won |
| Will David Njoku play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27? | No | $25 | 83.0¢ | Won |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | Yes | $7 | 0.9¢ | Lost |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Yes | $297 | 38.6¢ | Lost |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Knicks | $8 | 53.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $47 | 14.8¢ | Lost |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | $23 | 45.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $38 | 4.5¢ | Lost |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $10 | 14.4¢ | Lost |
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 6.0¢
- Lakers$42 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$35 @ 45.4¢
- Yes$111 @ 35.2¢
- Yes$351 @ 5.0¢
- Bears$196 @ 45.9¢
- No$25 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$297 @ 38.6¢
- Knicks vs. HawksLostKnicks$8 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 14.8¢
- Hawks vs. KnicksLostKnicks$23 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 14.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $185 | 74.0¢ |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $177 | 50.7¢ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $97 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? | Sports | No | $92 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next? | Sports | No | $63 | 88.1¢ |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | Sports | Yes | $46 | 10.6¢ |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | Crypto | $140 | $43 | 24.0¢ |
| Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? | Culture | Yes | $33 | 33.0¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Cincinnati Bengals next? | Sports | No | $20 | 91.9¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? | Sports | Yes | $6 | 10.1¢ |
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $4 | 54.0¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? | Sports | Yes | $4 | 38.0¢ |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ |
- No$185 @ 74.0¢
- No$177 @ 50.7¢
- Yes$97 @ 13.0¢
- No$92 @ 50.0¢
- No$63 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$46 @ 10.6¢
- $140$43 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
- No$20 @ 91.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.1¢