← Smart money
0x399d…abcc
ProfitableEdge
+58.8pp
ROI
+780%
Win rate
69% @ 10.4¢
Brier
0.596
Resolved
140
Avg size
$6
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 63% (5/8) | +1027% | 8 |
| Other | 17% (1/6) | +32% | 6 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- +1027%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- +32%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
38% hit · 6/16| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $35 | 6.0¢ | Lost |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | $42 | 16.2¢ | Lost |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $35 | 45.4¢ | Won |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $111 | 35.2¢ | Won |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $351 | 5.0¢ | Won |
| Packers vs. Bears | Bears | $196 | 45.9¢ | Won |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Knicks | $8 | 53.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $47 | 14.8¢ | Lost |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | $23 | 45.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $38 | 4.5¢ | Lost |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $10 | 14.4¢ | Lost |
| Will David Njoku play for Cincinnati Bengals in 2026-27? | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | Lost |
| Will David Njoku play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27? | No | $25 | 83.0¢ | Won |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | Yes | $7 | 0.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? | No | $73 | 85.1¢ | Won |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Yes | $297 | 38.6¢ | Lost |
- Yes$35 @ 6.0¢
- Lakers$42 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$35 @ 45.4¢
- Yes$111 @ 35.2¢
- Yes$351 @ 5.0¢
- Bears$196 @ 45.9¢
- Knicks vs. HawksLostKnicks$8 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 14.8¢
- Hawks vs. KnicksLostKnicks$23 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 14.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- No$25 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.9¢
- No$73 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$297 @ 38.6¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | — | No | $877 | 86.0¢ |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $725 | 72.5¢ |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $452 | 56.5¢ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $97 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? | Sports | No | $92 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | Sports | Yes | $72 | 44.6¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next? | Sports | No | $63 | 88.1¢ |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | Crypto | $140 | $63 | 22.6¢ |
| Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? | Culture | Yes | $33 | 33.0¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? | Sports | Yes | $6 | 10.1¢ |
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $4 | 54.0¢ |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? | Sports | Yes | $4 | 38.0¢ |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ |
- No$877 @ 86.0¢
- No$725 @ 72.5¢
- No$452 @ 56.5¢
- Yes$97 @ 13.0¢
- No$92 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 44.6¢
- No$63 @ 88.1¢
- $140$63 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.1¢