0x3968…2b0f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3968c3d8090406b6d4c6e29308331a9dc3292b0f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-6.6pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

36% @ 42.8¢

Brier

0.249

Resolved

387

Avg size

$711

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (9/17)	-13%	17
Politics	50% (7/14)	+62%	14
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+197%	1

Other17 bets
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
ROI
-13%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
ROI
+62%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+197%

Track record

49% hit · 17/35

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$549	68.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$1.8k	47.5¢	Lost
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.8k	59.0¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	48.8¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$14.4k	32.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$74	14.8¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$3.7k	84.2¢	Won
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	$10.9k	68.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$4.8k	20.0¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	$5.8k	58.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$18.3k	33.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$29.7k	87.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$15.9k	76.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	$57	19.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$3.4k	40.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4.2k	13.6¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$950	9.5¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$16.7k	33.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$6.0k	47.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	$9.9k	62.6¢	Lost
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	No	$7.7k	50.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	No	$17.3k	47.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	No	$3.8k	62.3¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$1.1k	49.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$3.3k	42.2¢	Lost
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	$5.1k	76.5¢	Won
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1.4k	66.5¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$15.1k	46.0¢	Won
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$9.1k	60.2¢	Lost
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	No	$16.1k	33.7¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$2.4k	77.0¢	Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	$482	55.0¢	Won
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?	No	$1.3k	39.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$4.0k	38.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$36.3k	41.1¢	Won

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$549 @ 68.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 47.5¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Won
No$1.8k @ 59.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 48.8¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$14.4k @ 32.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$74 @ 14.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$3.7k @ 84.2¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
Yes$10.9k @ 68.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$4.8k @ 20.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Won
No$5.8k @ 58.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$18.3k @ 33.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$29.7k @ 87.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$15.9k @ 76.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Lost
No$57 @ 19.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$3.4k @ 40.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$4.2k @ 13.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
Yes$950 @ 9.5¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$16.7k @ 33.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$6.0k @ 47.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Lost
No$9.9k @ 62.6¢
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Won
No$7.7k @ 50.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Lost
No$17.3k @ 47.0¢
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Won
No$3.8k @ 62.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 49.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$3.3k @ 42.2¢
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Won
No$5.1k @ 76.5¢
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.4k @ 66.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$15.1k @ 46.0¢
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$9.1k @ 60.2¢
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$16.1k @ 33.7¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 77.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Won
No$482 @ 55.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?Won
No$1.3k @ 39.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
Yes$4.0k @ 38.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$36.3k @ 41.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$9.5k	19.2¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
Yes$9.5k @ 19.2¢