← Smart money
0x3958…1da2
ProfitableEdge
+20.6pp
ROI
+143%
Win rate
37% @ 16.5¢
Brier
0.236
Resolved
35
Avg size
$201
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 50% (2/4) | +133% | 4 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +43% | 1 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +216% | 1 |
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +133%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +43%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +216%
Track record
67% hit · 4/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | $6.0k | 70.0¢ | Won |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $3.7k | 13.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $2.0k | 14.4¢ | Won |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | $1 | 65.2¢ | Won |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $200 | 3.8¢ | Lost |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | Yes | $1.1k | 31.6¢ | Won |
- Yes$6.0k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 13.6¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 14.4¢
- No$1 @ 65.2¢
- Yes$200 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 31.6¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $2.2k | 67.0¢ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $1.0k | 4.2¢ |
- Yes$2.2k @ 67.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 4.2¢