0x391d…def1

Specialization by sphere

• Other61 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (26/61)

  ROI

  +37%

• Science31 bets

  Hit rate

  35% (11/31)

  ROI

  -20%

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  42% (10/24)

  ROI

  +86%

• Geopolitics22 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (9/22)

  ROI

  -55%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  +37%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?Won
  No$188 @ 44.3¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$126 @ 9.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 29?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 9.7¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?Lost
  No$181 @ 28.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?Won
  Yes$45 @ 48.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?Won
  No$108 @ 51.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?Lost
  Yes$117 @ 40.1¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Lost
  No$140 @ 2.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 5.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 22?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 5.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Lost
  No$742 @ 71.4¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$47 @ 13.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 24?Won
  No$92 @ 60.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 21?Lost
  No$53 @ 30.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 21?Won
  Yes$25 @ 30.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 24?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 21?Won
  No$122 @ 80.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 24?Won
  No$47 @ 63.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 24?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 22.2¢
• Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Lost
  No$21 @ 3.0¢
• Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-07-29?Lost
  No$27 @ 30.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 13.4¢
• Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Lost
  No$213 @ 14.6¢
• Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Won
  Yes$74 @ 89.0¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Lost
  Yes$66 @ 22.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Lost
  No$240 @ 23.4¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
  Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Lost
  No$585 @ 32.1¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
  Yes$407 @ 68.0¢
• Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Lost
  Yes$139 @ 24.7¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Lost
  No$54 @ 1.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 21?Won
  No$16 @ 8.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 21?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 42.4¢
• LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion PlayoffsLost
  FALKE Esports$54 @ 67.6¢
• Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
  No$395 @ 86.3¢
• Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 18.0¢
• Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Won
  No$198 @ 48.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 21?Lost
  No$25 @ 12.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 21?Won
  Yes$21 @ 27.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 21?Won
  No$70 @ 59.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 21?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 13.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on August 21?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 11.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 3.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 29?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 5.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on September 24?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 10.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24?Won
  No$162 @ 63.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 21?Won
  No$41 @ 83.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 24?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 24?Won
  No$39 @ 72.9¢

Current positions

• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$303 @ 30.4¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
  No$300 @ 25.5¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Geopolitics
  No$269 @ 32.5¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
  No$259 @ 29.0¢
• Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?Crypto
  No$258 @ 89.3¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$256 @ 60.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$249 @ 60.9¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
  No$245 @ 22.8¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech
  No$237 @ 97.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$220 @ 33.5¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 16.4¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Other
  No$153 @ 64.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat?Politics
  Yes$149 @ 93.0¢
• Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$123 @ 59.8¢
• Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$120 @ 53.0¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics
  Yes$99 @ 33.1¢
• Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$96 @ 14.9¢
• US x China tariff agreement by October 31?Politics
  Yes$93 @ 92.4¢
• Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II PlayoffsSports
  Astralis$80 @ 54.0¢
• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech
  Yes$79 @ 93.0¢
• Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$79 @ 10.0¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$74 @ 51.9¢
• LoL: TLN Pirates vs MAGAZA (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageSports
  TLN Pirates$74 @ 92.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 26?Science
  No$68 @ 57.0¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  No$62 @ 13.5¢
• Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$53 @ 55.2¢
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Geopolitics
  Yes$52 @ 17.3¢
• Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$49 @ 10.3¢
• Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?Politics
  No$46 @ 89.0¢
• Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$46 @ 42.9¢