0x38fa…26ff

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x38fa1fdce9420b0116e983dc49f4cf8b2b4d26ff
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+30.0pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

66% @ 36.3¢

Brier

0.233

Resolved

199

Avg size

$19

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (14/21)	+46%	21
Geopolitics	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Politics	25% (1/4)	-53%	4
Science	100% (2/2)	+51%	2
Culture	100% (2/2)	+43%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other21 bets
Hit rate
67% (14/21)
ROI
+46%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-53%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+51%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+43%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

54% hit · 19/35

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22?	No	$206	68.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22?	Yes	$56	59.0¢	Won
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 13 and 15 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	No	$32	64.0¢	Won
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 13 and 15 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$6	55.0¢	Lost
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	$103	13.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$101	74.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6?	No	$13	80.0¢	Won
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	No	$153	50.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	$91	85.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?	Yes	$8	69.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	$52	66.4¢	Won
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?	Yes	$25	50.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	Yes	$20	65.0¢	Lost
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$68	3.3¢	Lost
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	$102	14.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	Yes	$34	67.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Cabo Verde	$10	3.6¢	Lost
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1.0k	42.6¢	Won
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	No	$571	12.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	$201	87.6¢	Won
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	$103	11.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?	Yes	$70	70.0¢	Won
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	$44	87.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	$31	15.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 25?	No	$226	42.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	$85	89.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$101	80.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	No	$70	70.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$4	1.0¢	Lost
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	$103	10.2¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	Delhi Capitals	$105	11.9¢	Lost
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	$84	69.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 25?	No	$72	72.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22?Won
No$206 @ 68.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22?Won
Yes$56 @ 59.0¢
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 13 and 15 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$32 @ 64.0¢
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 13 and 15 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$6 @ 55.0¢
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Lost
Yes$103 @ 13.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$101 @ 74.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6?Won
No$13 @ 80.0¢
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$153 @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Won
Yes$91 @ 85.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?Won
Yes$8 @ 69.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Won
No$52 @ 66.4¢
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?Lost
Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$20 @ 65.0¢
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$68 @ 3.3¢
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Lost
Yes$102 @ 14.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$34 @ 67.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLost
Cabo Verde$10 @ 3.6¢
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 42.6¢
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?Lost
No$571 @ 12.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Won
No$201 @ 87.6¢
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Lost
Yes$103 @ 11.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?Won
Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers BengaluruWon
Royal Challengers Bengaluru$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?Won
Yes$31 @ 15.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 25?Won
No$226 @ 42.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Won
No$85 @ 89.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$101 @ 80.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?Won
No$70 @ 70.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Lost
Yes$103 @ 10.2¢
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab KingsLost
Delhi Capitals$105 @ 11.9¢
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Won
No$84 @ 69.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 25?Won
No$72 @ 72.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 23?	Science	Yes	$58	17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?	Science	No	$45	31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24?	Science	Yes	$39	26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 23?	Science	Yes	$16	5.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 23?Science
Yes$58 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?Science
No$45 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24?Science
Yes$39 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 23?Science
Yes$16 @ 5.0¢