0x38f2…ed3f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x38f2fa8704cae1a5b3a7b9dc3d1ec9e18794ed3f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.4pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

66% @ 52.7¢

Brier

0.142

Resolved

558

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (50/124)	+18%	124
Sports	53% (8/15)	+16%	15
Science	67% (2/3)	+29%	3
Politics	100% (1/1)	+15%	1

Other124 bets
Hit rate
40% (50/124)
ROI
+18%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
53% (8/15)
ROI
+16%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+29%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%

Track record

43% hit · 61/143

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	$4	56.5¢	Lost
Capitals vs. Penguins	Capitals	$8	59.2¢	Won
Capitals vs. Penguins	Penguins	$6	34.5¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$8	70.0¢	Won
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	$1	52.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$1	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19?	Yes	$7	75.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	Yes	$5	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?	Yes	$5	45.0¢	Won
Hornets vs. Magic	Hornets	$17	35.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Magic	Magic	$279	75.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 11?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on May 12?	Yes	$4	5.0¢	Lost
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	$4	72.3¢	Won
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?	No	$7	37.0¢	Lost
Will Atalanta BC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	No	$22	74.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs	Team Falcons	$31	60.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	TEAM VISION	$1	88.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Virtus.pro	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5	Over	$1	56.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$2	67.0¢	Won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5	Over	$41	63.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	$4	2.4¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$10	82.0¢	Won
Athletics vs. New York Mets	Athletics	$1	77.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$1	60.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	$2	81.0¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	$2	56.0¢	Lost
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs	Pittsburgh Pirates	$10	65.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 20?	Yes	$5	19.6¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Over	$1	54.0¢	Won
Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$1	65.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	$5	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 10?	Yes	$3	22.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	$6	38.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	$4	4.2¢	Lost
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	MOUZ	$14	18.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	No	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Blues vs. Blackhawks	Blackhawks	$1	43.0¢	Lost
Blues vs. Blackhawks	Blues	$5	56.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	$16	40.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?	No	$4	1.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	$5	2.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	$16	56.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?	No	$8	20.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 23?	Yes	$32	12.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	$5	0.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 26?	Yes	$8	70.0¢	Lost
Canadiens vs. Flyers	Canadiens	$20	30.3¢	Lost

Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue JaysLost
Toronto Blue Jays$4 @ 56.5¢
Capitals vs. PenguinsWon
Capitals$8 @ 59.2¢
Capitals vs. PenguinsLost
Penguins$6 @ 34.5¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$8 @ 70.0¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19?Won
Yes$7 @ 75.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?Won
Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
Hornets vs. MagicLost
Hornets$17 @ 35.0¢
Hornets vs. MagicWon
Magic$279 @ 75.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on May 12?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Won
Yes$4 @ 72.3¢
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?Lost
No$7 @ 37.0¢
Will Atalanta BC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?Lost
No$22 @ 74.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons$31 @ 60.0¢
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWon
TEAM VISION$1 @ 88.0¢
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Virtus.pro$1 @ 19.0¢
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1 @ 56.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$2 @ 67.0¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$41 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 11?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.4¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
Athletics vs. New York MetsWon
Athletics$1 @ 77.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$1 @ 60.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati RedsWon
Cincinnati Reds$2 @ 81.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsLost
Chicago Cubs$2 @ 56.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsWon
Pittsburgh Pirates$10 @ 65.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 20?Lost
Yes$5 @ 19.6¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Won
Over$1 @ 54.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$1 @ 65.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?Won
Yes$6 @ 38.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.2¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerLost
MOUZ$14 @ 18.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?Lost
No$3 @ 0.5¢
Blues vs. BlackhawksLost
Blackhawks$1 @ 43.0¢
Blues vs. BlackhawksWon
Blues$5 @ 56.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?Won
Yes$16 @ 40.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?Lost
No$4 @ 1.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?Lost
No$5 @ 2.0¢
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerWon
HULIGANI$16 @ 56.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?Lost
No$8 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$32 @ 12.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 26?Lost
Yes$8 @ 70.0¢
Canadiens vs. FlyersLost
Canadiens$20 @ 30.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$42	73.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$40	98.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$25	93.0¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	No	$25	92.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$24	95.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$16	96.0¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Tech	No	$8	91.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$5	54.0¢
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	Tech	No	$2	77.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$42 @ 73.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$40 @ 98.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$25 @ 93.0¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
No$25 @ 92.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$24 @ 95.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$16 @ 96.0¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech
No$8 @ 91.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Crypto
No$5 @ 54.0¢
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Tech
No$2 @ 77.0¢