← Smart money
0x38ee…f142
ProfitableEdge
+32.0pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
84% @ 51.9¢
Brier
0.244
Resolved
31
Avg size
$607
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 69% (9/13) | +25% | 13 |
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (9/13)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
69% hit · 9/13| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $10 | 29.0¢ | Won |
| Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | $3.9k | 65.0¢ | Won |
| Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | $10 | 50.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 4? | Yes | $10 | 29.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker? | Yes | $18 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Heat | $6.0k | 67.0¢ | Lost |
| Nuggets vs. Bulls | Bulls | $21 | 35.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | No | $10 | 50.0¢ | Won |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | $15 | 54.0¢ | Won |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $10 | 71.0¢ | Won |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Lakers | $4.8k | 55.0¢ | Won |
| Flyers vs. Predators | Flyers | $4.0k | 46.0¢ | Won |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Patriots | $22 | 65.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
- Maple Leafs$3.9k @ 65.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 89.0¢
- Raptors vs. HeatLostHeat$6.0k @ 67.0¢
- Bulls$21 @ 35.0¢
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 71.0¢
- Lakers$4.8k @ 55.0¢
- Flyers$4.0k @ 46.0¢
- Patriots$22 @ 65.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | No | $62 | 97.5¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $10 | 97.7¢ |
- No$62 @ 97.5¢
- No$10 @ 97.7¢