0x38b0…dd47

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x38b09c9d19c75018afc3ff63b60a33f7d2d7dd47
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+25.2pp

ROI

+43%

Win rate

41% @ 15.5¢

Brier

0.292

Resolved

891

Avg size

$108

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	13% (6/47)	-12%	47
Sports	38% (14/37)	+81%	37
Politics	9% (1/11)	-47%	11
Crypto	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other47 bets
Hit rate
13% (6/47)
ROI
-12%
Sports37 bets
Hit rate
38% (14/37)
ROI
+81%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
9% (1/11)
ROI
-47%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

21% hit · 21/98

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$31	4.2¢	Lost
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	$2.0k	22.0¢	Lost
Will Paul Salomone be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	$1.4k	21.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.5k	8.7¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$168	28.0¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$645	42.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$65	25.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$476	11.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	$1.1k	23.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	$1.7k	24.5¢	Lost
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$754	37.0¢	Won
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	0.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	$1.5k	24.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	$1.3k	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	$955	14.9¢	Lost
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$197	12.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9?	Yes	$970	6.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	$83	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	$1.6k	26.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4.4k	8.5¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$205	12.8¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5.7k	11.1¢	Lost
Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	$506	46.0¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Germany	$673	51.0¢	Won
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9?	Yes	$443	3.2¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$1.1k	56.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	$1.2k	19.0¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-4.5)	Germany	$418	32.0¢	Won
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Brazil	$806	53.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	$1.5k	22.0¢	Lost
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)	Korea Republic	$82	8.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	$1.5k	22.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	$1.7k	25.9¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$547	54.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	$10	31.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$504	36.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	$1.5k	25.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$66	26.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	$1.1k	35.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$205	14.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	$790	18.0¢	Lost
Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	$663	39.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$55	12.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	$1.4k	25.7¢	Lost
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5	Over	$183	45.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13.9k	16.0¢	Won
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Over	$517	51.0¢	Lost

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$31 @ 4.2¢
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Lost
No$2.0k @ 22.0¢
Will Paul Salomone be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 21.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 8.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$168 @ 28.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$645 @ 42.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$65 @ 25.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Lost
No$476 @ 11.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 23.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 24.5¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Won
Argentina$754 @ 37.0¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 0.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 24.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?Lost
Yes$955 @ 14.9¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$197 @ 12.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9?Lost
Yes$970 @ 6.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 3?Lost
Yes$83 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 26.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4.4k @ 8.5¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$205 @ 12.8¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5.7k @ 11.1¢
Golden Knights vs. UtahLost
Utah$506 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Won
Germany$673 @ 51.0¢
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9?Lost
Yes$443 @ 3.2¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 56.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 19.0¢
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Won
Germany$418 @ 32.0¢
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Won
Brazil$806 @ 53.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 13?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 22.0¢
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Lost
Korea Republic$82 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 22.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 25.9¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$547 @ 54.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Lost
No$10 @ 31.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$504 @ 36.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 5?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 25.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$66 @ 26.0¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Lost
Spain$1.1k @ 35.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
No$205 @ 14.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?Lost
Yes$790 @ 18.0¢
Ducks vs. OilersLost
Ducks$663 @ 39.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$55 @ 12.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 3?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 25.7¢
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$183 @ 45.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$13.9k @ 16.0¢
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$517 @ 51.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$500	10.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$500	47.0¢
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$25	2.3¢
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.8¢
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢

Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$500 @ 10.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$500 @ 47.0¢
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$25 @ 2.3¢
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢