← Smart money
0x3814…17bc
ProfitableEdge
+8.5pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
71% @ 62.1¢
Brier
0.164
Resolved
476
Avg size
$225
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 52% (44/84) | +5% | 84 |
| Other | 54% (27/50) | +4% | 50 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +39% | 1 |
- Sports84 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (44/84)
- ROI
- +5%
- Other50 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (27/50)
- ROI
- +4%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +39%
Track record
53% hit · 72/136- New York Yankees$216 @ 54.0¢
- PARIVISION$12.8k @ 87.6¢
- Giants$118 @ 56.0¢
- UTSA$252 @ 84.0¢
- Detroit Tigers$566 @ 45.7¢
- New York Yankees$5 @ 54.0¢
- Over$162 @ 54.0¢
- Chicago Cubs$253 @ 62.0¢
- Cleveland Guardians$561 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 54.0¢
- Team Yandex$1.1k @ 78.5¢
- Team Yandex$52 @ 80.0¢
- Over$211 @ 52.0¢
- BetBoom Team$118 @ 22.8¢
- LGD Gaming$141 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$98 @ 73.3¢
- GamerLegion$521 @ 52.7¢
- San Diego Padres$66 @ 46.0¢
- Aurora$339 @ 63.7¢
- Atlanta Braves$629 @ 62.5¢
- Over$180 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$721 @ 43.0¢
- Houston Astros$175 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 39.0¢
- LGD Gaming$309 @ 40.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 59.4¢
- Yes$905 @ 84.0¢
- Sunderland AFC$1.1k @ 67.1¢
- Yes$197 @ 67.7¢
- Yes$103 @ 10.0¢
- Saints$1.5k @ 80.0¢
- Cleveland Guardians$524 @ 57.0¢
- Golden State Valkyries$92 @ 83.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$146 @ 51.0¢
- Over$56 @ 56.0¢
- Over$470 @ 47.0¢
- LGD Gaming$222 @ 44.0¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$124 @ 61.0¢
- Minnesota Twins$63 @ 47.0¢
- No$271 @ 53.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$129 @ 60.0¢
- Under$3.7k @ 72.2¢
- San Francisco Giants$295 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$224 @ 16.0¢
- LGD Gaming$3.2k @ 83.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$1.1k @ 64.0¢
- Minnesota Twins$506 @ 55.0¢
- PlayTime$20 @ 17.0¢
- LGD Gaming$5.6k @ 75.0¢
- No$30 @ 14.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Sports | Yes | $7.7k | 68.5¢ |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $5.0k | 55.1¢ |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Culture | Yes | $3.1k | 54.3¢ |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $1.8k | 12.5¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $511 | 56.8¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $416 | 3.7¢ |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $325 | 21.2¢ |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $298 | 15.0¢ |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Culture | No | $60 | 60.0¢ |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $10 | 1.8¢ |
- Yes$7.7k @ 68.5¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 55.1¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 54.3¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 12.5¢
- No$511 @ 56.8¢
- Yes$416 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$325 @ 21.2¢
- Yes$298 @ 15.0¢
- No$60 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.8¢