← Smart money
0x37e9…ab9f
SharpEdge
+1.4pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
22% @ 20.8¢
Brier
0.129
Resolved
5231
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 19% (239/1281) | +8% | 1281 |
| Sports | 20% (21/105) | -37% | 105 |
| Science | 29% (16/55) | +11% | 55 |
| Culture | 27% (9/33) | +9% | 33 |
| Politics | 17% (4/24) | +43% | 24 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (2/3) | +75% | 3 |
- Other1281 bets
- Hit rate
- 19% (239/1281)
- ROI
- +8%
- Sports105 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (21/105)
- ROI
- -37%
- Science55 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (16/55)
- ROI
- +11%
- Culture33 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (9/33)
- ROI
- +9%
- Politics24 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (4/24)
- ROI
- +43%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +75%
Track record
19% hit · 291/1501- Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$101 @ 38.5¢
- Over$14 @ 23.0¢
- Over$12 @ 27.0¢
- Over$17 @ 31.0¢
- Over$5 @ 11.0¢
- No$6 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 17.3¢
- No$192 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 18.6¢
- No$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$12 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- No$4 @ 18.4¢
- Over$13 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 17.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 14.7¢
- Over$10 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 26.0¢
- No$2 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$18 @ 3.2¢
- No$161 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$398 @ 83.9¢
- No$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$16 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 30.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
- No$4 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$60 @ 15.7¢
- No$3 @ 17.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | No | $217 | 51.7¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 1? | Science | No | $65 | 77.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on September 30? | Science | Yes | $64 | 14.3¢ |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $59 | 18.1¢ |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Politics | Yes | $57 | 25.6¢ |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $42 | 14.1¢ |
| Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned? | Politics | No | $29 | 83.0¢ |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $25 | 2.8¢ |
| Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? | Sports | Yes | $14 | 17.0¢ |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.8¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on September 30? | Science | Yes | $2 | 1.4¢ |
- No$217 @ 51.7¢
- No$65 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$64 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$59 @ 18.1¢
- Yes$57 @ 25.6¢
- Yes$42 @ 14.1¢
- No$29 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$14 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.4¢