0x37e6…f35c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x37e686a200d2ccdb17ebf0e6bb4c6174d5b7f35c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-2.7pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

44% @ 46.7¢

Brier

0.211

Resolved

5527

Avg size

$11

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (165/382)	-7%	382
Politics	43% (60/140)	+18%	140
Geopolitics	36% (14/39)	+1%	39
Sports	25% (4/16)	+118%	16
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other382 bets
Hit rate
43% (165/382)
ROI
-7%
Politics140 bets
Hit rate
43% (60/140)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics39 bets
Hit rate
36% (14/39)
ROI
+1%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
25% (4/16)
ROI
+118%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

42% hit · 243/578

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	No	$13	57.2¢	Lost
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Tamara Korpatsch vs Diana Shnaider	Tamara Korpatsch	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$6	42.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	No	$74	6.7¢	Lost
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$30	34.3¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$274	67.4¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$197	49.1¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$784	42.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$460	46.2¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	$50	68.3¢	Won
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner	Misa Esports	$25	56.6¢	Won
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner	Solary	$24	46.8¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	$39	61.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$164	64.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$50	8.7¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$29	41.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$56	24.2¢	Won
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?	No	$13	1.3¢	Lost
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	No	$8	34.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$1	53.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	7.5¢	Lost
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$25	42.0¢	Lost
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$128	56.7¢	Won
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa	Eva Lys	$13	10.4¢	Won
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa	Paula Badosa	$2	80.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$581	42.9¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$84	66.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$66	26.7¢	Lost
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$7	8.7¢	Lost
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 23?	Yes	$6	1.7¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?	Yes	$2	9.9¢	Lost
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?	Yes	$7	11.2¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$345	48.1¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	$107	36.0¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	$64	67.7¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$83	60.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$156	26.6¢	Won
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eagles	Qingdao Eagles	$3	9.6¢	Lost
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline Cristian	Jaqueline Cristian	$76	23.2¢	Won
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline Cristian	Sarah Rakotomanga	$75	56.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$5	11.0¢	Lost
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rockets	Guangdong Southern Tigers	$20	63.9¢	Won
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rockets	Ningbo Rockets	$80	34.9¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?	Yes	$20	9.8¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$64	22.0¢	Lost
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Tiago Pereira	Tiago Pereira	$20	10.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	$11	73.1¢	Lost
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$14	25.0¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$219	5.7¢	Lost

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Lost
No$13 @ 57.2¢
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Tamara Korpatsch vs Diana ShnaiderLost
Tamara Korpatsch$1 @ 21.0¢
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$6 @ 42.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Lost
No$74 @ 6.7¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 34.3¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$274 @ 67.4¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$197 @ 49.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$784 @ 42.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$460 @ 46.2¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Won
Yes$50 @ 68.3¢
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
Misa Esports$25 @ 56.6¢
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerLost
Solary$24 @ 46.8¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Lost
Yes$39 @ 61.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$164 @ 64.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 8.7¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$29 @ 41.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$56 @ 24.2¢
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Lost
No$13 @ 1.3¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Lost
No$8 @ 34.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$1 @ 53.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.5¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Lost
Yes$25 @ 42.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$128 @ 56.7¢
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula BadosaWon
Eva Lys$13 @ 10.4¢
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula BadosaLost
Paula Badosa$2 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$581 @ 42.9¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$84 @ 66.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$66 @ 26.7¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 8.7¢
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 23?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.9¢
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Lost
Yes$7 @ 11.2¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$345 @ 48.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Won
No$107 @ 36.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Lost
Yes$64 @ 67.7¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$83 @ 60.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$156 @ 26.6¢
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao EaglesLost
Qingdao Eagles$3 @ 9.6¢
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline CristianWon
Jaqueline Cristian$76 @ 23.2¢
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline CristianLost
Sarah Rakotomanga$75 @ 56.1¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
No$5 @ 11.0¢
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo RocketsWon
Guangdong Southern Tigers$20 @ 63.9¢
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo RocketsLost
Ningbo Rockets$80 @ 34.9¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Lost
Yes$20 @ 9.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$64 @ 22.0¢
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Tiago PereiraLost
Tiago Pereira$20 @ 10.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Lost
No$11 @ 73.1¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$14 @ 25.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
No$219 @ 5.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Politics	No	$79	27.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$38	33.7¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$27	28.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$21	74.4¢
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?	Politics	No	$12	82.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$12	81.0¢
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$10	16.8¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	51.2¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$8	19.3¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	Politics	No	$2	76.0¢

Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Politics
No$79 @ 27.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$38 @ 33.7¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$27 @ 28.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$21 @ 74.4¢
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Politics
No$12 @ 82.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Geopolitics
No$12 @ 81.0¢
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Politics
Yes$10 @ 16.8¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 51.2¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics
Yes$8 @ 19.3¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Politics
No$2 @ 76.0¢