0x37a1…6691

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x37a1b6cb61b969e9bd9783f707e8ff7646366691
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.7pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

30% @ 22.3¢

Brier

0.142

Resolved

1004

Avg size

$60

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	14% (24/172)	+45%	172
Sports	46% (39/84)	-6%	84
Crypto	46% (6/13)	+46%	13
Politics	45% (5/11)	-16%	11
Science	50% (2/4)	+79%	4
Economy	33% (1/3)	-97%	3
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other172 bets
Hit rate
14% (24/172)
ROI
+45%
Sports84 bets
Hit rate
46% (39/84)
ROI
-6%
Crypto13 bets
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
ROI
+46%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
ROI
-16%
Science4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+79%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-97%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Track record

27% hit · 78/290

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Denmark 3 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	$3	2.6¢	Lost
Israel vs. Kosovo: Second half draw?	Yes	$8	38.0¢	Won
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	$3	2.0¢	Lost
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 4.5	Over	$357	16.0¢	Lost
Azerbaijan to score first vs. Liechtenstein?	Yes	$86	86.0¢	Lost
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 3.5	Over	$467	32.0¢	Lost
Will Maldives vs. Lebanon end in a draw?	No	$47	95.3¢	Won
Uzbekistan to win the second half?	Yes	$23	56.0¢	Won
Maldives vs. Lebanon: O/U 1.5	Under	$4	14.0¢	Lost
Will Lebanon win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$412	93.4¢	Won
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	$875	68.0¢	Won
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	No	$46	4.4¢	Lost
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$2	1.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	Yes	$9	0.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	Yes	$42	39.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	$7.3k	97.4¢	Won
Will Solana reach $130 in September?	No	$14	65.0¢	Won
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$2	3.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Seychelles 1 - 0 Sri Lanka?	No	$113	92.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Seychelles 1 - 3 Sri Lanka?	No	$48	96.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Seychelles 0 - 1 Sri Lanka?	No	$278	89.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Seychelles 1 - 1 Sri Lanka?	No	$88	88.0¢	Won
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	13.0¢	Lost
Titans vs. Giants	Giants	$123	67.0¢	Won
Titans vs. Giants	Titans	$435	40.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	$477	11.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$64	2.9¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$4	47.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	$6	2.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	$26	0.8¢	Lost
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?	No	$24	79.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?	Yes	$89	2.1¢	Lost
Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$766	71.9¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	$158	29.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$466	7.0¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5	Over	$125	4.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	$133	10.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	$10	32.0¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$108	13.9¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$1.5k	87.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$181	51.5¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$50	49.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$96	1.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	$8	2.3¢	Lost
Texans vs. Colts	Texans	$652	54.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$61	53.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?	Yes	$3	0.7¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?Won
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Exact Score: Denmark 3 - 2 Portugal?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
Israel vs. Kosovo: Second half draw?Won
Yes$8 @ 38.0¢
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?Lost
No$3 @ 2.0¢
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$357 @ 16.0¢
Azerbaijan to score first vs. Liechtenstein?Lost
Yes$86 @ 86.0¢
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$467 @ 32.0¢
Will Maldives vs. Lebanon end in a draw?Won
No$47 @ 95.3¢
Uzbekistan to win the second half?Won
Yes$23 @ 56.0¢
Maldives vs. Lebanon: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$4 @ 14.0¢
Will Lebanon win on 2026-10-01?Won
Yes$412 @ 93.4¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Won
No$875 @ 68.0¢
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?Lost
No$46 @ 4.4¢
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?Lost
Yes$42 @ 39.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Won
No$7.3k @ 97.4¢
Will Solana reach $130 in September?Won
No$14 @ 65.0¢
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.4¢
Exact Score: Seychelles 1 - 0 Sri Lanka?Won
No$113 @ 92.0¢
Exact Score: Seychelles 1 - 3 Sri Lanka?Won
No$48 @ 96.0¢
Exact Score: Seychelles 0 - 1 Sri Lanka?Won
No$278 @ 89.0¢
Exact Score: Seychelles 1 - 1 Sri Lanka?Won
No$88 @ 88.0¢
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 13.0¢
Titans vs. GiantsWon
Giants$123 @ 67.0¢
Titans vs. GiantsLost
Titans$435 @ 40.1¢
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?Lost
Yes$477 @ 11.5¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$64 @ 2.9¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$4 @ 47.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.2¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$26 @ 0.8¢
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?Won
No$24 @ 79.0¢
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$89 @ 2.1¢
Colts vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$766 @ 71.9¢
Colts vs. ChiefsLost
Colts$158 @ 29.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$466 @ 7.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$125 @ 4.5¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?Won
Yes$133 @ 10.0¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Lost
No$10 @ 32.0¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
No$108 @ 13.9¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 87.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$181 @ 51.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$50 @ 49.3¢
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$96 @ 1.7¢
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Morocco?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.3¢
Texans vs. ColtsLost
Texans$652 @ 54.6¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$61 @ 53.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Jaguars vs. Bengals	Sports	Bengals	$126	52.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$77	67.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Business	No	$76	38.0¢
Cowboys vs. Texans	Sports	Cowboys	$48	48.0¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$46	93.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$39	46.4¢
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$35	75.0¢
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$30	79.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$28	63.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Crypto	Yes	$28	27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Science	Yes	$27	27.0¢
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$13	76.0¢
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Tech	No	$5	51.2¢
Packers vs. Buccaneers	Sports	Packers	$3	62.0¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$2	34.0¢

Jaguars vs. BengalsSports
Bengals$126 @ 52.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$77 @ 67.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Business
No$76 @ 38.0¢
Cowboys vs. TexansSports
Cowboys$48 @ 48.0¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto
No$46 @ 93.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$39 @ 46.4¢
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
No$35 @ 75.0¢
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?Crypto
Yes$30 @ 79.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Business
Yes$28 @ 63.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Crypto
Yes$28 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?Science
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Geopolitics
No$13 @ 76.0¢
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Tech
No$5 @ 51.2¢
Packers vs. BuccaneersSports
Packers$3 @ 62.0¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$2 @ 34.0¢