0x3775…0b35

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3775e653e61382e4ebaf1e2542926bd5a4270b35
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+30.7pp

ROI

+80%

Win rate

84% @ 52.9¢

Brier

0.185

Resolved

Avg size

$218

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (9/16)	+85%	16
Politics	100% (3/3)	+29%	3

Other16 bets
Hit rate
56% (9/16)
ROI
+85%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+29%

Track record

63% hit · 12/19

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$302	29.8¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	$222	87.0¢	Won
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?	Yes	$1	69.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	$112	2.9¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?	No	$321	61.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?	No	$505	74.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$193	29.0¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	Yes	$30	2.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	$444	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 28?	Yes	$1	4.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$393	83.0¢	Won
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	$4.9k	36.0¢	Won
TikTok sale announced by October 31?	Yes	$731	40.6¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$682	69.4¢	Won
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	$1.3k	89.9¢	Won
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	$159	74.0¢	Won
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	$96	65.1¢	Won
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?	No	$93	47.8¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?	No	$254	55.9¢	Won

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Lost
Yes$302 @ 29.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Won
Yes$222 @ 87.0¢
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Won
Yes$1 @ 69.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Lost
No$112 @ 2.9¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Won
No$321 @ 61.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Won
No$505 @ 74.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Lost
Yes$193 @ 29.0¢
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Won
No$444 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$393 @ 83.0¢
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Won
Yes$4.9k @ 36.0¢
TikTok sale announced by October 31?Lost
Yes$731 @ 40.6¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$682 @ 69.4¢
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 89.9¢
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Won
No$159 @ 74.0¢
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Won
Yes$96 @ 65.1¢
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Lost
No$93 @ 47.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Won
No$254 @ 55.9¢

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