0x3764…c5eb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x376441d19f56d43629d3872324dc2e648e13c5eb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.2pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

43% @ 36.7¢

Brier

0.164

Resolved

1575

Avg size

$117

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (207/473)	+26%	473
Crypto	44% (43/97)	-18%	97
Tech	22% (8/37)	-70%	37
Economy	41% (12/29)	+55%	29
Business	48% (10/21)	-7%	21
Sports	14% (1/7)	-35%	7
Politics	25% (1/4)	-99%	4

Other473 bets
Hit rate
44% (207/473)
ROI
+26%
Crypto97 bets
Hit rate
44% (43/97)
ROI
-18%
Tech37 bets
Hit rate
22% (8/37)
ROI
-70%
Economy29 bets
Hit rate
41% (12/29)
ROI
+55%
Business21 bets
Hit rate
48% (10/21)
ROI
-7%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
-35%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-99%

Track record

42% hit · 282/668

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$15	43.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	$30	62.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	Yes	$8	52.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?	Yes	$60	72.3¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$9	29.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	61.4¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	$367	29.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?	No	$200	40.0¢	Lost
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?	No	$29	95.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	$6	45.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	No	$24	7.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31?	Yes	$21	5.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	$71	75.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Yes	$7	12.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?	No	$2	92.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?	No	$1	51.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?	Yes	$38	17.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on October 31?	Yes	$2	2.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	Yes	$15	33.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $70 in October?	Yes	$5	2.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	No	$233	74.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	No	$519	46.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $160 in October?	No	$15	94.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	No	$74	60.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	No	$868	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	$5	1.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	$236	42.0¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?	Yes	$1	5.2¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	No	$353	83.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes	$135	12.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	$12	63.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	Yes	$32	6.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	$41	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?	Yes	$6	3.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	$34	5.1¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $104 in October?	Yes	$2	6.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	Yes	$11	5.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $108 in October?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	$229	97.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	$198	2.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	$975	93.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	$11	80.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Yes	$65	9.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Lost
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	$1.4k	51.9¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	No	$12	87.4¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	$57	47.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	$14	84.0¢	Won

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
Yes$15 @ 43.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?Lost
No$30 @ 62.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?Won
Yes$8 @ 52.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?Won
Yes$60 @ 72.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 29.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 61.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$367 @ 29.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$200 @ 40.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?Won
No$29 @ 95.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?Lost
No$6 @ 45.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?Lost
No$24 @ 7.0¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31?Lost
Yes$21 @ 5.4¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Lost
No$71 @ 75.4¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Won
Yes$7 @ 12.0¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?Won
No$2 @ 92.3¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Won
No$1 @ 51.0¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Lost
Yes$38 @ 17.7¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on October 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.9¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Lost
Yes$15 @ 33.0¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in October?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?Won
No$233 @ 74.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?Won
No$519 @ 46.0¢
Will Solana reach $160 in October?Won
No$15 @ 94.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?Won
No$74 @ 60.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?Won
No$868 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Lost
Yes$236 @ 42.0¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?Won
No$353 @ 83.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Lost
Yes$135 @ 12.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Lost
Yes$12 @ 63.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?Lost
Yes$32 @ 6.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Won
No$41 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?Lost
Yes$34 @ 5.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $104 in October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $108 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Won
No$229 @ 97.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Lost
Yes$198 @ 2.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Won
No$975 @ 93.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Won
No$11 @ 80.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Lost
Yes$65 @ 9.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 51.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Won
No$12 @ 87.4¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Won
No$57 @ 47.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Won
No$14 @ 84.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$8.8k	17.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$6.4k	52.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3.0k	37.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.7k	52.6¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	No	$2.7k	46.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.1k	61.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$2.1k	45.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1.8k	20.7¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Other	Yes	$1.8k	13.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.7k	72.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1.4k	18.7¢
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.3k	73.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$1.3k	71.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$1.3k	51.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.1k	82.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1.0k	11.1¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.0k	69.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$887	18.8¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?	Politics	No	$770	89.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$717	41.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$691	40.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$624	13.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$601	90.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$582	90.0¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	No	$572	83.2¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$558	52.7¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	No	$500	80.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	Other	Yes	$489	30.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Other	No	$475	60.0¢
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$458	46.0¢

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$8.8k @ 17.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$6.4k @ 52.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3.0k @ 37.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.7k @ 52.6¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
No$2.7k @ 46.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.1k @ 61.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Other
No$2.1k @ 45.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1.8k @ 20.7¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Other
Yes$1.8k @ 13.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.7k @ 72.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1.4k @ 18.7¢
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.3k @ 73.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$1.3k @ 71.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
No$1.3k @ 51.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.1k @ 82.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1.0k @ 11.1¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
No$1.0k @ 69.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$887 @ 18.8¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?Politics
No$770 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$717 @ 41.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$691 @ 40.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$624 @ 13.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech
No$601 @ 90.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
No$582 @ 90.0¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech
No$572 @ 83.2¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$558 @ 52.7¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
No$500 @ 80.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Other
Yes$489 @ 30.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?Other
No$475 @ 60.0¢
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$458 @ 46.0¢