0x3706…9462

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3706eee3e108d9e26c972fbd24c4747ec7ca9462
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.1pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

52% @ 42.5¢

Brier

0.138

Resolved

254

Avg size

$88

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (23/60)	+33%	60
Sports	10% (1/10)	+29%	10
Politics	50% (1/2)	-15%	2
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-99%	2

Other60 bets
Hit rate
38% (23/60)
ROI
+33%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
10% (1/10)
ROI
+29%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-15%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-99%

Track record

35% hit · 26/74

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$93	17.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$186	9.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 11?	Yes	$20	1.1¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$300	72.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$108	5.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 10?	No	$22	1.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?	No	$9	1.8¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	Yes	$75	75.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	$157	26.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1	15.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	$272	82.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	$28	27.1¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$174	8.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	$390	78.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$240	12.0¢	Lost
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	$115	29.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?	No	$1.2k	80.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	$1.5k	64.6¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$10	3.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?	Yes	$18	3.8¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?	Yes	$10	51.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	$3.5k	51.6¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	$9	30.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$136	6.8¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$290	74.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	$212	66.1¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$529	82.3¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$1.4k	31.8¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	$1	36.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$322	16.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	$870	87.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$4	62.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 7?	Yes	$0	3.8¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$48	24.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	$8	1.6¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$8	77.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	$666	66.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$260	13.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$70	3.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$22	29.0¢	Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$93 @ 17.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$186 @ 9.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 11?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$300 @ 72.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$108 @ 5.4¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 10?Lost
No$22 @ 1.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?Lost
No$9 @ 1.8¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Won
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Lost
No$157 @ 26.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Lost
No$272 @ 82.3¢
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Won
Yes$28 @ 27.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$174 @ 8.7¢
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Lost
No$390 @ 78.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$240 @ 12.0¢
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Lost
Yes$115 @ 29.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Won
No$1.2k @ 80.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Won
No$1.5k @ 64.6¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?Lost
Yes$18 @ 3.8¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Won
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Won
No$3.5k @ 51.6¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 30.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$136 @ 6.8¢
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$290 @ 74.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Lost
No$212 @ 66.1¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Won
Yes$529 @ 82.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$1.4k @ 31.8¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$322 @ 16.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Won
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$4 @ 62.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 7?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.8¢
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$48 @ 24.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$8 @ 77.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Won
No$666 @ 66.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$260 @ 13.0¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$70 @ 3.5¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 29.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Other	No	$9.9k	98.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Other	No	$5.9k	98.2¢
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$930	93.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Other	No	$270	82.3¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$260	13.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$240	12.0¢
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$213	34.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	—	No	$212	67.0¢
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	—	Yes	$193	84.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$186	9.3¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$174	8.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Other	No	$156	26.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$136	6.8¢
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	—	Yes	$112	29.9¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$108	5.4¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$70	3.5¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$32	1.6¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	—	Yes	$29	29.0¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$24	1.2¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	—	Yes	$22	29.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	—	Yes	$14	26.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$11	11.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	3.8¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$9	87.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	—	Yes	$7	26.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	—	No	$4	62.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	—	Yes	$3	10.4¢
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	—	Yes	$2	2.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	—	Yes	$1	58.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$0	7.0¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?Other
No$9.9k @ 98.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?Other
No$5.9k @ 98.2¢
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$930 @ 93.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Other
No$270 @ 82.3¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$260 @ 13.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$240 @ 12.0¢
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Geopolitics
Yes$213 @ 34.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?—
No$212 @ 67.0¢
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?—
Yes$193 @ 84.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$186 @ 9.3¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$174 @ 8.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Other
No$156 @ 26.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$136 @ 6.8¢
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?—
Yes$112 @ 29.9¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$108 @ 5.4¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$70 @ 3.5¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$32 @ 1.6¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?—
Yes$29 @ 29.0¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$24 @ 1.2¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?—
Yes$22 @ 29.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?—
Yes$14 @ 26.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?—
Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 3.8¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?—
Yes$7 @ 26.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?—
No$4 @ 62.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 10.4¢
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?—
Yes$2 @ 2.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?—
Yes$1 @ 58.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$0 @ 7.0¢