0x3690…e16f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.5pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

62% @ 58.0¢

Brier

0.176

Resolved

1830

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (326/533)	+6%	533
Science	66% (140/213)	+4%	213
Crypto	44% (45/102)	-4%	102
Politics	61% (39/64)	+46%	64
Sports	44% (17/39)	+9%	39
Culture	65% (13/20)	+14%	20
Tech	62% (8/13)	+14%	13
Geopolitics	50% (2/4)	+9%	4

Other533 bets
Hit rate
61% (326/533)
ROI
+6%
Science213 bets
Hit rate
66% (140/213)
ROI
+4%
Crypto102 bets
Hit rate
44% (45/102)
ROI
-4%
Politics64 bets
Hit rate
61% (39/64)
ROI
+46%
Sports39 bets
Hit rate
44% (17/39)
ROI
+9%
Culture20 bets
Hit rate
65% (13/20)
ROI
+14%
Tech13 bets
Hit rate
62% (8/13)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+9%

Track record

60% hit · 590/988

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?	No	$3	66.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 29?	No	$5	96.6¢	Won
Will Solana reach $90 on August 20?	No	$39	74.1¢	Won
Will Solana reach $90 on August 20?	Yes	$16	33.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?	No	$92	76.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?	Yes	$75	67.1¢	Won
Will XRP reach $1.45 on August 21?	No	$23	58.3¢	Won
Will XRP reach $1.45 on August 21?	Yes	$20	43.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	No	$31	67.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20?	No	$6	62.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23?	No	$12	60.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?	Yes	$64	75.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$50	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28?	No	$26	87.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?	No	$6	37.0¢	Won
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$16	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?	No	$14	54.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 24?	Yes	$1	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 26?	Yes	$9	52.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?	Yes	$0	8.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	$42	46.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	$33	31.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24?	Yes	$9	56.0¢	Won
Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	No	$5	89.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 27?	No	$27	89.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?	Yes	$19	74.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?	No	$2	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	$8	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?	No	$6	39.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.15 on August 5?	No	$8	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	No	$6	56.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	$4	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?	No	$36	89.4¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 13?	Yes	$32	73.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?	No	$13	67.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?	No	$3	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 28?	No	$9	88.0¢	Won
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?	Yes	$36	80.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4?	No	$35	78.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 26?	No	$31	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	No	$4	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 22?	No	$9	76.2¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 21?	Yes	$9	87.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 4?	Yes	$11	71.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?	Yes	$5	17.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 25?	No	$21	69.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	$51	77.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 22?	No	$7	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	No	$47	81.9¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?Lost
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 29?Won
No$5 @ 96.6¢
Will Solana reach $90 on August 20?Won
No$39 @ 74.1¢
Will Solana reach $90 on August 20?Lost
Yes$16 @ 33.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?Lost
No$92 @ 76.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?Won
Yes$75 @ 67.1¢
Will XRP reach $1.45 on August 21?Won
No$23 @ 58.3¢
Will XRP reach $1.45 on August 21?Lost
Yes$20 @ 43.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?Won
No$31 @ 67.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20?Lost
No$6 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23?Won
No$12 @ 60.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?Won
Yes$64 @ 75.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28?Won
No$26 @ 87.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?Won
No$6 @ 37.0¢
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
No$16 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?Lost
No$14 @ 54.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 26?Won
Yes$9 @ 52.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 8.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
No$42 @ 46.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
No$33 @ 31.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24?Won
Yes$9 @ 56.0¢
Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?Won
No$5 @ 89.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 27?Won
No$27 @ 89.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?Won
Yes$19 @ 74.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?Won
No$2 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Won
Yes$8 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?Lost
No$6 @ 39.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will XRP reach $1.15 on August 5?Won
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?Lost
No$6 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Won
Yes$4 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?Won
No$36 @ 89.4¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 13?Won
Yes$32 @ 73.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?Won
No$13 @ 67.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?Lost
No$3 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 28?Won
No$9 @ 88.0¢
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Won
Yes$36 @ 80.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4?Won
No$35 @ 78.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 26?Lost
No$31 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?Won
No$4 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 22?Won
No$9 @ 76.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 21?Lost
Yes$9 @ 87.9¢
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 4?Won
Yes$11 @ 71.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 17.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 25?Lost
No$21 @ 69.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Lost
No$51 @ 77.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 22?Won
No$7 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?Lost
No$47 @ 81.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?	—	Yes	$233	0.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?	Science	No	$59	97.9¢

Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?—
Yes$233 @ 0.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?Science
No$59 @ 97.9¢