0x3687…e697

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3687fc0b1d656a7c569a1baccf0b345246f8e697
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.3pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

41% @ 33.2¢

Brier

0.189

Resolved

634

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (153/350)	+22%	350
Sports	17% (2/12)	+24%	12
Politics	75% (3/4)	+98%	4

Other350 bets
Hit rate
44% (153/350)
ROI
+22%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
ROI
+24%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+98%

Track record

43% hit · 158/366

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$29	57.0¢	Won
Will Leavitt say "Commander-in-Chief" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	$7	68.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	Yes	$8	56.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	$31	53.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$17	66.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Out of NATO" or "Withdraw" during events with Rutte?	No	$21	42.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ethiopia" or "Uruguay" in November?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?	No	$52	43.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?	Yes	$4	36.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?	No	$2	18.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	Yes	$9	19.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Peanut" in November?	Yes	$4	49.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)	No	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	No	$2	10.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$14	47.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$18	35.6¢	Lost
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	$3	62.0¢	Lost
Metepec: Alexis Galarneau vs Cannon Kingsley	Galarneau	$4	60.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Uncle" this week?	Yes	$19	36.2¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Lost
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 Winner	Ninjas in Pyjamas	$7	45.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	$4	51.0¢	Won
Will Trump say “Secretary of War” this week? (November 10 - 16)	Yes	$3	56.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Cookie" during trophy presentation?	Yes	$1	8.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "My father" this week?	Yes	$11	28.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (October 27 - November 2)	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	$8	20.5¢	Lost
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$43	65.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Walz" this week? (December 8 - 14)	No	$4	38.0¢	Lost
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova	Pegula	$3	68.0¢	Won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during events with Rutte?	Yes	$8	38.0¢	Lost
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	No	$60	45.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?	No	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	Yes	$12	51.9¢	Won
Dubai Tennis Championships: Stan Wawrinka vs Benjamin Hassan	Hassan	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	Yes	$5	27.0¢	Won
Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$5	7.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)	Team Heretics	$8	32.6¢	Won
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	GIANTX	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kamala" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?	Yes	$8	26.6¢	Won
Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canada	Czechia	$4	16.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?	No	$5	24.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	No	$15	29.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Negotiator" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?	No	$12	37.6¢	Won
Mavericks vs. Knicks	Knicks	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say “Crypto" or "Bitcoin” this week? (November 10 - 16)	No	$3	54.0¢	Won
Rockets vs. Hornets	Hornets	$5	38.0¢	Lost

Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?Won
Yes$29 @ 57.0¢
Will Leavitt say "Commander-in-Chief" during the next White House Press Briefing?Won
Yes$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Lost
Yes$8 @ 56.0¢
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Won
No$31 @ 53.3¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?Lost
No$17 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump say "Out of NATO" or "Withdraw" during events with Rutte?Won
No$21 @ 42.2¢
Will Trump say "Ethiopia" or "Uruguay" in November?Won
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Won
No$52 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?Won
Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Won
No$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Lost
Yes$9 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "Peanut" in November?Won
Yes$4 @ 49.0¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)Lost
No$2 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
No$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?Lost
Yes$14 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?Lost
Yes$18 @ 35.6¢
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
Metepec: Alexis Galarneau vs Cannon KingsleyWon
Galarneau$4 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump say "Uncle" this week?Won
Yes$19 @ 36.2¢
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Lost
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 WinnerLost
Ninjas in Pyjamas$7 @ 45.3¢
Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)Won
No$4 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say “Secretary of War” this week? (November 10 - 16)Won
Yes$3 @ 56.0¢
Will Trump say "Cookie" during trophy presentation?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.9¢
Will Trump say "My father" this week?Lost
Yes$11 @ 28.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (October 27 - November 2)Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17?Lost
No$8 @ 20.5¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$43 @ 65.3¢
Will Trump say "Walz" this week? (December 8 - 14)Lost
No$4 @ 38.0¢
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda AnisimovaWon
Pegula$3 @ 68.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Invictus Gaming$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during events with Rutte?Lost
Yes$8 @ 38.0¢
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Won
No$60 @ 45.8¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?Lost
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?Won
Yes$12 @ 51.9¢
Dubai Tennis Championships: Stan Wawrinka vs Benjamin HassanLost
Hassan$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Won
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)Won
Team Heretics$8 @ 32.6¢
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonLost
GIANTX$5 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?Won
Yes$8 @ 26.6¢
Men's Group A - Czechia vs. CanadaLost
Czechia$4 @ 16.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Won
No$5 @ 24.0¢
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?Lost
No$15 @ 29.1¢
Will Trump say "Negotiator" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?Won
No$12 @ 37.6¢
Mavericks vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$2 @ 0.6¢
Will Trump say “Crypto" or "Bitcoin” this week? (November 10 - 16)Won
No$3 @ 54.0¢
Rockets vs. HornetsLost
Hornets$5 @ 38.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$24	47.0¢
Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?	Politics	Yes	$19	70.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$19	31.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$6	15.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$6	19.3¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Politics	No	$5	32.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$3	5.0¢

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$24 @ 47.0¢
Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Politics
Yes$19 @ 70.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$19 @ 31.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$6 @ 19.3¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
No$5 @ 32.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢