0x366c…6578

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x366ca527d1436aae117faf746f17098cf3f66578
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.4pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

55% @ 49.8¢

Brier

0.162

Resolved

2549

Avg size

$63

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (227/348)	+14%	348
Sports	58% (7/12)	-11%	12
Politics	78% (7/9)	-9%	9

Other348 bets
Hit rate
65% (227/348)
ROI
+14%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
-11%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
78% (7/9)
ROI
-9%

Track record

65% hit · 241/369

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$34	0.6¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$100	0.5¢	Lost
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	$162	81.1¢	Won
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	Yes	$90	89.8¢	Won
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	$30	60.1¢	Won
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	$53	89.0¢	Won
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	$465	93.0¢	Won
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	$8	80.0¢	Won
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W)	Sabalenka	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will the Australian hero donation campaign reach $1.7 million by Dec 15?	Yes	$39	77.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	$77	70.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?	No	$90	89.8¢	Won
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$41	44.9¢	Won
Will Malta win on 2025-11-14?	No	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?	Yes	$128	52.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?	Yes	$756	61.6¢	Won
Will Lille OSC vs. PAOK end in a draw?	No	$33	11.0¢	Won
Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?	No	$306	54.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United vs. Lyon end in a draw?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Won
Iran strike on Qatar today?	No	$100	50.3¢	Lost
Will Austria beat Romania?	No	$54	27.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?	No	$13	4.3¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?	Yes	$57	17.5¢	Won
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?	No	$43	85.0¢	Won
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	$15	15.1¢	Lost
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?	No	$127	42.3¢	Lost
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli	Cilic	$46	46.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli	Cobolli	$497	79.4¢	Won
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?	Yes	$204	73.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran before July?	No	$118	74.7¢	Won
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner	Alcaraz	$1.6k	13.6¢	Won
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner	Sinner	$4.3k	47.2¢	Lost
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?	Yes	$92	46.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	Yes	$54	6.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	No	$172	86.2¢	Won
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)	Fluminense	$74	60.2¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	$356	82.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran before August?	Yes	$42	42.0¢	Lost
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?	No	$167	83.7¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$103	67.1¢	Won
Will Pachuca beat Real Madrid?	No	$151	75.5¢	Won
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti	$216	54.0¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?	No	$358	57.5¢	Lost
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-17?	No	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	No	$61	61.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	No	$175	87.5¢	Won
Georgescu banned from Romania election?	No	$123	0.3¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$33	1.0¢	Lost

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
Yes$34 @ 0.6¢
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
Yes$100 @ 0.5¢
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Won
Yes$162 @ 81.1¢
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?Won
Yes$90 @ 89.8¢
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?Won
No$30 @ 60.1¢
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Won
No$53 @ 89.0¢
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Won
No$465 @ 93.0¢
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?Won
Yes$8 @ 80.0¢
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) Won
Sabalenka$45 @ 89.0¢
Will the Australian hero donation campaign reach $1.7 million by Dec 15?Won
Yes$39 @ 77.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?Lost
Yes$77 @ 70.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Won
No$90 @ 89.8¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
Yes$41 @ 44.9¢
Will Malta win on 2025-11-14?Lost
No$3 @ 0.5¢
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored? Won
Yes$128 @ 52.0¢
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?Won
Yes$756 @ 61.6¢
Will Lille OSC vs. PAOK end in a draw?Won
No$33 @ 11.0¢
Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?Won
No$306 @ 54.7¢
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Manchester United vs. Lyon end in a draw?Won
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Lost
No$100 @ 50.3¢
Will Austria beat Romania?Lost
No$54 @ 27.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?Lost
No$13 @ 4.3¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?Won
Yes$57 @ 17.5¢
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?Won
No$43 @ 85.0¢
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Lost
No$15 @ 15.1¢
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?Lost
No$127 @ 42.3¢
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli Lost
Cilic$46 @ 46.0¢
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli Won
Cobolli $497 @ 79.4¢
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?Won
Yes$204 @ 73.0¢
Israel strikes Iran before July?Won
No$118 @ 74.7¢
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner Won
Alcaraz$1.6k @ 13.6¢
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner Lost
Sinner $4.3k @ 47.2¢
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?Won
Yes$92 @ 46.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$54 @ 6.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Won
No$172 @ 86.2¢
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)Won
Fluminense$74 @ 60.2¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Won
No$356 @ 82.0¢
Israel strikes Iran before August?Lost
Yes$42 @ 42.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Won
No$167 @ 83.7¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
Yes$103 @ 67.1¢
Will Pachuca beat Real Madrid?Won
No$151 @ 75.5¢
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo MusettiWon
Musetti$216 @ 54.0¢
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Lost
No$358 @ 57.5¢
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-17?Won
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Won
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Won
No$175 @ 87.5¢
Georgescu banned from Romania election?Lost
No$123 @ 0.3¢
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$33 @ 1.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	No	$492	10.7¢
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$437	3.3¢
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Politics	No	$158	98.0¢

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
No$492 @ 10.7¢
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$437 @ 3.3¢
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Politics
No$158 @ 98.0¢