0x3653…ef74

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3653235d75a0d5969c42f7514d4df8ea5f8cef74
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.4pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

14% @ 10.7¢

Brier

0.063

Resolved

454

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	14% (173/1254)	+5%	1254
Science	13% (131/995)	-4%	995
Politics	19% (10/54)	-20%	54
Sports	24% (4/17)	+58%	17
Culture	17% (2/12)	+6%	12
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1254 bets
Hit rate
14% (173/1254)
ROI
+5%
Science995 bets
Hit rate
13% (131/995)
ROI
-4%
Politics54 bets
Hit rate
19% (10/54)
ROI
-20%
Sports17 bets
Hit rate
24% (4/17)
ROI
+58%
Culture12 bets
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
ROI
+6%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

14% hit · 320/2335

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?	No	$3	17.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?	Yes	$7	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?	No	$17	22.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	$6	32.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	No	$5	5.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	$14	75.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?	No	$15	87.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C or below on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?	No	$1	6.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	$21	57.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?	No	$1	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	$2	6.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	6.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?	No	$5	25.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?	No	$12	51.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 26?	Yes	$1	2.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	No	$4	43.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	$4	10.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 25?	No	$7	19.4¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?Lost
No$3 @ 17.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?Won
Yes$7 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?Lost
No$17 @ 22.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?Won
Yes$6 @ 32.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?Lost
No$5 @ 5.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?Won
Yes$14 @ 75.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?Won
No$15 @ 87.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C or below on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?Lost
No$1 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?Won
Yes$21 @ 57.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?Lost
No$1 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?Lost
No$5 @ 25.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?Won
No$12 @ 51.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?Won
No$4 @ 43.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 25?Won
No$7 @ 19.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	No	$197	95.6¢
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$115	74.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$87	97.1¢
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$46	42.0¢
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$43	81.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$39	28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$34	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on June 26?	—	Yes	$34	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$34	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$33	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$33	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$33	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$31	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$31	9.1¢
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	—	No	$25	88.7¢
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?	—	No	$24	69.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	—	No	$24	89.0¢
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?	—	Yes	$23	14.3¢
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$23	14.3¢
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?	—	Yes	$23	14.3¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Sports	No	$18	30.0¢
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$15	14.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?	—	Yes	$15	30.9¢
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Culture	Yes	$13	11.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 26?	—	Yes	$12	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?	—	Yes	$11	23.8¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Culture	No	$11	37.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 26?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 26?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on June 26?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢

Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics
No$197 @ 95.6¢
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Culture
Yes$115 @ 74.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 26?—
Yes$87 @ 97.1¢
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Culture
Yes$46 @ 42.0¢
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$43 @ 81.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
No$39 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 26?—
Yes$34 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on June 26?—
Yes$34 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on June 26?—
Yes$34 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 26?—
Yes$33 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 26?—
Yes$33 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 26?—
Yes$33 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 26?—
Yes$31 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 26?—
Yes$31 @ 9.1¢
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?—
No$25 @ 88.7¢
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?—
No$24 @ 69.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?—
No$24 @ 89.0¢
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?—
Yes$23 @ 14.3¢
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$23 @ 14.3¢
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?—
Yes$23 @ 14.3¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Sports
No$18 @ 30.0¢
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$15 @ 14.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?—
Yes$15 @ 30.9¢
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Culture
Yes$13 @ 11.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 26?—
Yes$12 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?—
Yes$11 @ 23.8¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Culture
No$11 @ 37.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 26?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 26?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on June 26?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢