← Smart money
0x35ae…eed2
ProfitableEdge
+42.5pp
ROI
+93%
Win rate
83% @ 40.3¢
Brier
0.246
Resolved
99
Avg size
$148
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +102% | 3 |
| Other | 33% (1/3) | +28% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +95% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +102%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +28%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +95%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
38% hit · 5/13| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Yes | $11 | 10.0¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | $2.0k | 59.8¢ | Won |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $256 | 10.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $24 | 1.1¢ | Lost |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $203 | 7.4¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | $1.0k | 40.1¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | Yes | $53 | 27.2¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $100 | 48.0¢ | Won |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | $20 | 14.0¢ | Lost |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? | Yes | $10 | 9.0¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | $8.6k | 48.0¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | $2.2k | 55.0¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | Yes | $11 | 2.3¢ | Lost |
- Yes$11 @ 10.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 59.8¢
- Yes$256 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$24 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$203 @ 7.4¢
- No$1.0k @ 40.1¢
- Yes$53 @ 27.2¢
- No$100 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
- No$8.6k @ 48.0¢
- No$2.2k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Politics | No | $1.3k | 37.3¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | — | Yes | $210 | 44.0¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $130 | 24.3¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $100 | 25.4¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | — | Yes | $98 | 28.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | — | Yes | $94 | 18.0¢ |
- No$1.3k @ 37.3¢
- Yes$210 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 24.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$98 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$94 @ 18.0¢