0x35ae…eed2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x35ae86546d11ec53907e66c34287af1a89adeed2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.6pp

ROI

+65%

Win rate

50% @ 31.7¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

187

Avg size

$97

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	23% (7/30)	-54%	30
Crypto	14% (1/7)	+8%	7
Sports	25% (1/4)	-90%	4
Politics	67% (2/3)	+102%	3
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+95%	2

Other30 bets
Hit rate
23% (7/30)
ROI
-54%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
+8%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-90%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+102%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+95%

Track record

28% hit · 13/46

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$15	29.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?	Yes	$100	49.9¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$149	74.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?	Yes	$120	36.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	$11	10.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 3 Algeria?	Yes	$21	10.9¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$2.0k	59.8¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$256	10.9¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$24	1.1¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	Yes	$780	13.9¢	Lost
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?	Yes	$14	14.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Bolivia 1 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	$21	13.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$261	11.7¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$203	7.4¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?	Yes	$80	52.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1.0k	40.1¢	Won
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 FC Bayern München?	Yes	$10	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?	Yes	$75	7.2¢	Lost
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?	Yes	$9	24.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	$53	27.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$100	48.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$20	14.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$522	39.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?	Yes	$140	31.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?	Yes	$10	12.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?	Yes	$80	18.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?	Yes	$180	23.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	$10	14.8¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$8.6k	48.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$2.2k	55.0¢	Won
Exact Score: China PR 2 - 1 Thailand?	Yes	$21	11.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	$11	2.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$250	84.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?	Yes	$120	63.6¢	Won
Exact Score: China PR 1 - 1 Thailand?	Yes	$21	15.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?	Yes	$40	8.0¢	Lost
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$10	6.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?	Yes	$20	3.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	Yes	$10	8.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	$94	18.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	$10	18.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	$98	28.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	$210	44.0¢	Won

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Won
Yes$100 @ 49.9¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
No$149 @ 74.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Lost
Yes$120 @ 36.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Lost
Yes$11 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 3 Algeria?Lost
Yes$21 @ 10.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$2.0k @ 59.8¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$256 @ 10.9¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$24 @ 1.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Lost
No$10 @ 2.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Lost
Yes$780 @ 13.9¢
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?Won
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Exact Score: Bolivia 1 - 2 Algeria?Lost
Yes$21 @ 13.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$261 @ 11.7¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$203 @ 7.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?Won
Yes$80 @ 52.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$1.0k @ 40.1¢
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 FC Bayern München?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?Lost
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Lost
Yes$75 @ 7.2¢
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Lost
Yes$9 @ 24.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Lost
Yes$53 @ 27.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$100 @ 48.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$522 @ 39.9¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Won
Yes$140 @ 31.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?Lost
Yes$80 @ 18.6¢
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Lost
Yes$180 @ 23.4¢
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 2 Algeria?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$8.6k @ 48.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$2.2k @ 55.0¢
Exact Score: China PR 2 - 1 Thailand?Lost
Yes$21 @ 11.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$250 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?Won
Yes$120 @ 63.6¢
Exact Score: China PR 1 - 1 Thailand?Lost
Yes$21 @ 15.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?Lost
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.3¢
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 3.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Lost
Yes$94 @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Lost
Yes$98 @ 28.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Won
Yes$210 @ 44.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1.4k	22.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$1.3k	37.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$130	24.3¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$100	29.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$100	28.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$100	6.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1.4k @ 22.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$1.3k @ 37.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$130 @ 24.3¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$100 @ 29.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$100 @ 28.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$100 @ 6.0¢