← Smart money
0x35a1…a9b2
SharpEdge
+19.6pp
ROI
+32%
Win rate
75% @ 55.2¢
Brier
0.202
Resolved
119
Avg size
$4
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (8/17) | +30% | 17 |
| Sports | 87% (13/15) | +27% | 15 |
| Tech | 100% (3/3) | +37% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other17 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (8/17)
- ROI
- +30%
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 87% (13/15)
- ROI
- +27%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +37%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
67% hit · 24/36- Manon Leonard$47 @ 71.2¢
- Manon Leonard$3 @ 54.0¢
- Susan Bandecchi$18 @ 70.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Georgii Kravchenko$3 @ 53.0¢
- Philip Henning$15 @ 85.2¢
- Lidia Encheva$18 @ 76.0¢
- Lucas Poullain$15 @ 82.4¢
- No$19 @ 50.7¢
- Eliz Maloney$12 @ 74.7¢
- Ozan Baris$5 @ 59.0¢
- Noah Karma$12 @ 72.2¢
- Golden State Valkyries$64 @ 33.0¢
- Under$16 @ 4.0¢
- Paola Lopez$9 @ 88.3¢
- Filip Misolic$5 @ 83.0¢
- Ilia Simakin$30 @ 79.8¢
- Ilia Simakin$30 @ 79.0¢
- Under$1 @ 60.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$58 @ 53.9¢
- Timo Legout$10 @ 61.5¢
- Oumar Sy$15 @ 71.0¢
- Under$10 @ 5.6¢
- Michael Minasyan$12 @ 58.2¢
- Sabrina Dias$6 @ 53.0¢
- Hiromi Abe$1 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 73.0¢
- Iiro Vasa$5 @ 86.0¢
- Under$14 @ 3.6¢
- Alicia Reichel$6 @ 80.0¢
- Nikita Mashtakov$10 @ 83.5¢
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna$30 @ 87.0¢
- Alec Deckers$15 @ 67.1¢
- Eero Vasa$6 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 82.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W35 Reims: Manon Leonard vs Clara Vlasselaer | Sports | Manon Leonard | $47 | 71.2¢ |
| W75 Quinta do Lago: Lea Nilsson vs Susan Bandecchi | Sports | Susan Bandecchi | $18 | 70.1¢ |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $6 | 86.0¢ |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.9¢ |
| Set Handicap: Manon Leonard (-1.5) vs Clara Vlasselaer (+1.5) | Sports | Manon Leonard | $3 | 54.0¢ |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Politics | No | $3 | 92.0¢ |
| Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Tech | Yes | $0 | 4.2¢ |
- Manon Leonard$47 @ 71.2¢
- Susan Bandecchi$18 @ 70.1¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$6 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.9¢
- Manon Leonard$3 @ 54.0¢
- No$3 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.2¢