0x357c…7dfe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x357cf9a4ba89e8592182e45d8b4431d1ecd67dfe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.2pp

ROI

+135%

Win rate

10% @ 5.2¢

Brier

0.074

Resolved

527

Avg size

$12

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	14% (4/28)	+249%	28
Sports	38% (9/24)	+40%	24
Culture	0% (0/7)	-100%	7

Other28 bets
Hit rate
14% (4/28)
ROI
+249%
Sports24 bets
Hit rate
38% (9/24)
ROI
+40%
Culture7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%

Track record

22% hit · 13/59

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Croatia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	2.3¢	Lost
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$30	71.0¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$306	61.5¢	Lost
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$101	56.6¢	Won
Will Haiti win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	Yes	$74	1.6¢	Lost
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?	Yes	$11	0.6¢	Lost
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	$190	30.3¢	Lost
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$63	16.7¢	Lost
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 49m?	Yes	$25	0.4¢	Lost
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$605	73.4¢	Won
Will France win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$323	16.8¢	Lost
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?	Yes	$5	0.3¢	Lost
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$101	66.7¢	Won
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$76	2.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$89	57.0¢	Won
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?	Yes	$50	32.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	$51	14.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$106	49.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$49	54.0¢	Won
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?	Yes	$39	0.2¢	Lost
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.0k	60.7¢	Won
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score	No	$90	45.0¢	Lost
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	No	$30	48.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$101	68.0¢	Won
Will anyone say "King" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?	No	$15	11.3¢	Lost
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	$51	39.0¢	Won
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?	Yes	$47	0.9¢	Lost
Will England win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	0.8¢	Lost
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$206	19.3¢	Lost
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?	Yes	$4	0.5¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	$4	0.3¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$102	24.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	$19	1.5¢	Lost
Will a player representing Morocco be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Czechia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Curaçao win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	$16	0.3¢	Lost
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	1.4¢	Lost
Will Algeria win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$22	5.5¢	Lost
Will Germany win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$308	11.0¢	Lost
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$38	8.8¢	Lost
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$256	26.1¢	Won
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$206	18.6¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$20	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 22?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?	Yes	$5	2.4¢	Lost

Will Croatia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.3¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?Won
Yes$30 @ 71.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$306 @ 61.5¢
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$101 @ 56.6¢
Will Haiti win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?Lost
Yes$74 @ 1.6¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.6¢
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
No$190 @ 30.3¢
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$63 @ 16.7¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 49m?Lost
Yes$25 @ 0.4¢
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$605 @ 73.4¢
Will France win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$323 @ 16.8¢
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$101 @ 66.7¢
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$76 @ 2.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Won
Yes$89 @ 57.0¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?Lost
Yes$50 @ 32.0¢
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Lost
No$51 @ 14.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
No$106 @ 49.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$49 @ 54.0¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?Lost
Yes$39 @ 0.2¢
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.0k @ 60.7¢
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$90 @ 45.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Won
No$30 @ 48.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$101 @ 68.0¢
Will anyone say "King" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?Lost
No$15 @ 11.3¢
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicWon
Joao Fonseca$51 @ 39.0¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?Lost
Yes$47 @ 0.9¢
Will England win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.8¢
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$206 @ 19.3¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$102 @ 24.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$19 @ 1.5¢
Will a player representing Morocco be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Czechia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Curaçao win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.3¢
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will Algeria win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$22 @ 5.5¢
Will Germany win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$308 @ 11.0¢
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
No$10 @ 2.0¢
Will Argentina win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$38 @ 8.8¢
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$256 @ 26.1¢
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$206 @ 18.6¢
Knicks vs. CavaliersLost
Cavaliers$20 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$340	24.6¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	No	$158	27.5¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$136	17.9¢
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	—	Yes	$67	21.4¢
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	—	Yes	$30	6.0¢
Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	—	Yes	$28	23.0¢

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$340 @ 24.6¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
No$158 @ 27.5¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$136 @ 17.9¢
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?—
Yes$67 @ 21.4¢
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?—
Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?—
Yes$28 @ 23.0¢