0x34db…1b63

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Science135 bets

  Hit rate

  61% (83/135)

  ROI

  -2%

• Other39 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (15/39)

  ROI

  +16%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +6%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +91%

• Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Won
  Yes$256 @ 91.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 46.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 52.0¢
• Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Lost
  No$65 @ 23.3¢
• Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 120 mph?Won
  No$44 @ 98.0¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 125 mph?Won
  No$18 @ 98.0¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 115 mph?Won
  Yes$20 @ 98.0¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 110 mph?Won
  Yes$72 @ 98.3¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 100 mph?Won
  Yes$10 @ 99.0¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 105 mph?Won
  Yes$10 @ 99.0¢
• Will London have between 35-45mm of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
• Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$63 @ 90.6¢
• Will London have 110mm or more of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
• Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 11.9¢
• Will London have between 45-60mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$96 @ 81.5¢
• Will London have between 45-60mm of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
• Will London have less than 35mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$17 @ 22.3¢
• Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Lost
  No$372 @ 84.0¢
• Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$267 @ 89.5¢
• Will Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$223 @ 82.0¢
• Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.75 inches of precipitation in October?Won
  No$80 @ 84.0¢
• Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?Lost
  No$120 @ 64.0¢
• Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?Won
  Yes$6 @ 30.0¢
• Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$150 @ 87.4¢
• Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 9.3¢
• Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Lost
  No$103 @ 39.1¢
• Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Won
  Yes$134 @ 91.5¢
• Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$102 @ 75.4¢
• Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$146 @ 71.0¢
• Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?Won
  No$19 @ 90.0¢
• Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 22.2¢
• Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$52 @ 27.0¢
• Will Seoul have between 30-40mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$8 @ 70.0¢
• Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 7.8¢
• Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Lost
  No$17 @ 86.0¢
• Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Won
  Yes$5 @ 9.4¢
• Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
• Will Seattle have more than 6 inches of precipitation in October?Won
  No$79 @ 90.0¢
• Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?Won
  No$181 @ 79.5¢
• Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
• Will NYC have between 4.75 and 5.25 inches of precipitation in October?Won
  No$20 @ 90.0¢
• Will Seoul have between 20-30mm of precipitation in October?Won
  No$344 @ 84.0¢
• Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?Won
  No$190 @ 95.0¢
• Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
• Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Lost
  No$118 @ 65.8¢
• Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Won
  Yes$85 @ 62.2¢
• Will NYC have between 4.25 and 4.75 inches of precipitation in October?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 10.5¢
• Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?Won
  No$301 @ 80.5¢

Current positions

• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture
  Yes$4.0k @ 74.3¢
• Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Science
  Yes$2.6k @ 85.3¢
• Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in October 2026?Science
  No$1.6k @ 94.0¢
• Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?Science
  No$1.5k @ 54.3¢
• Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Science
  Yes$1.3k @ 21.9¢
• Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Science
  Yes$933 @ 82.1¢
• Will Hong Kong have between 5-10mm of precipitation in November?Science
  No$618 @ 91.7¢
• Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Science
  Yes$407 @ 95.7¢
• Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Science
  Yes$394 @ 71.0¢
• Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Culture
  Yes$356 @ 28.3¢
• Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026?Science
  No$298 @ 92.9¢
• Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026?Science
  No$233 @ 86.1¢
• Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?Science
  Yes$181 @ 91.9¢
• California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?Science
  Wetter$163 @ 72.6¢
• Will Hong Kong have between 60-95mm of precipitation in November?Science
  No$155 @ 83.7¢
• Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?Science
  No$137 @ 60.7¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in November be at least 100 mph?Science
  Yes$130 @ 89.3¢
• Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026?Science
  No$127 @ 81.6¢
• Will Hong Kong have less than 5mm of precipitation in November?Science
  No$125 @ 95.0¢
• Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Science
  Yes$113 @ 74.7¢
• Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Science
  Yes$104 @ 8.2¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in November be at least 130 mph?Science
  No$104 @ 90.0¢
• Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?Science
  Yes$101 @ 91.9¢
• Will global temperature increase by less than 1.35ºC in November 2026?Science
  No$100 @ 91.0¢
• Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more?Science
  No$97 @ 69.7¢
• Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 83 km/h or below in November?Science
  No$83 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in November be at least 125 mph?Science
  No$73 @ 88.8¢
• Will Hong Kong have between 25-35mm of precipitation in November?Science
  No$60 @ 87.7¢
• Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?Science
  Yes$59 @ 1.4¢
• Will NYC have between 4.25 and 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?Science
  No$48 @ 80.0¢