← Smart money
0x34da…c155
ProfitableEdge
+23.9pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
72% @ 48.5¢
Brier
0.229
Resolved
105
Avg size
$75
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 73% (24/33) | +3% | 33 |
| Tech | 69% (9/13) | +74% | 13 |
| Geopolitics | 60% (6/10) | +2% | 10 |
| Other | 50% (2/4) | +131% | 4 |
- Politics33 bets
- Hit rate
- 73% (24/33)
- ROI
- +3%
- Tech13 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (9/13)
- ROI
- +74%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (6/10)
- ROI
- +2%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +131%
Track record
68% hit · 41/60- Yes$269 @ 93.2¢
- Yes$44 @ 98.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$221 @ 98.9¢
- Yes$374 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$430 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 6.4¢
- No$7 @ 3.6¢
- No$8 @ 82.0¢
- No$54 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$368 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$548 @ 46.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$192 @ 30.3¢
- Yes$378 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$43 @ 84.9¢
- Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
- No$2 @ 38.0¢
- No$14 @ 70.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
- No$142 @ 40.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$364 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$40 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 68.3¢
- No$0 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 64.5¢
- No$420 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$160 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$676 @ 81.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 20.6¢
- Yes$40 @ 79.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
- No$102 @ 25.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026? | Tech | Yes | $156 | 41.4¢ |
| Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | Science | No | $107 | 51.7¢ |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $67 | 81.1¢ |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $55 | 25.6¢ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $51 | 51.0¢ |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $46 | 9.3¢ |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $36 | 25.0¢ |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14.5B by October 31? | Other | Yes | $31 | 31.0¢ |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $27 | 66.5¢ |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $19 | 5.9¢ |
| Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 29.4¢ |
- Yes$156 @ 41.4¢
- No$107 @ 51.7¢
- Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?GeopoliticsYes$67 @ 81.1¢
- Yes$55 @ 25.6¢
- Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$36 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 66.5¢
- Yes$19 @ 5.9¢
- Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?PoliticsYes$10 @ 29.4¢