0x34c1…1bb0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x34c16752b5cc8e784b01e5c18b8f3ef0ebcb1bb0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.2pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

38% @ 32.8¢

Brier

0.139

Resolved

450

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (15/47)	-4%	47
Science	42% (19/45)	+38%	45
Politics	27% (4/15)	+1%	15

Other47 bets
Hit rate
32% (15/47)
ROI
-4%
Science45 bets
Hit rate
42% (19/45)
ROI
+38%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
27% (4/15)
ROI
+1%

Track record

36% hit · 38/107

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	$139	63.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	$20	9.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	Yes	$287	77.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 30?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?	Yes	$36	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	No	$114	68.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	$162	64.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	$51	27.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 2?	Yes	$108	69.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	$195	72.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?	Yes	$35	11.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?	Yes	$17	4.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 23?	Yes	$54	20.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 26?	No	$49	10.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 10?	Yes	$25	12.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 2?	Yes	$5	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	$338	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	Yes	$38	31.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	$48	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	$94	45.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19?	No	$171	49.5¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	$67	12.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?	No	$155	21.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	No	$148	75.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	$5	4.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 24?	Yes	$23	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 1?	Yes	$25	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 23?	No	$59	63.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 25?	No	$169	83.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on August 14?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	$155	37.9¢	Lost
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$29	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	$138	79.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	$96	29.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	$19	59.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	Yes	$3	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	No	$82	26.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on September 10?	No	$446	88.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	$51	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?	Yes	$40	9.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 21?	Yes	$37	36.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	No	$50	34.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?	No	$100	71.2¢	Won
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$235	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	$196	32.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 28?	Yes	$10	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22?	No	$2	40.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?Won
Yes$139 @ 63.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 4?Lost
Yes$20 @ 9.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?Won
Yes$287 @ 77.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?Lost
Yes$36 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?Lost
No$114 @ 68.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?Won
Yes$162 @ 64.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$51 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 2?Won
Yes$108 @ 69.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?Won
Yes$195 @ 72.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$35 @ 11.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?Lost
Yes$17 @ 4.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$54 @ 20.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 26?Lost
No$49 @ 10.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 10?Lost
Yes$25 @ 12.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 2?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?Won
Yes$338 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?Lost
Yes$38 @ 31.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$48 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?Won
Yes$94 @ 45.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19?Won
No$171 @ 49.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1?Won
Yes$67 @ 12.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?Lost
No$155 @ 21.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?Won
No$148 @ 75.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on August 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$23 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$25 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 23?Lost
No$59 @ 63.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 25?Won
No$169 @ 83.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on August 14?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$155 @ 37.9¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
Yes$29 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?Won
Yes$138 @ 79.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$96 @ 29.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$19 @ 59.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?Lost
No$82 @ 26.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on September 10?Won
No$446 @ 88.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?Lost
Yes$51 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$40 @ 9.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$37 @ 36.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?Lost
No$50 @ 34.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?Won
No$100 @ 71.2¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
Yes$235 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?Won
Yes$196 @ 32.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 28?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22?Lost
No$2 @ 40.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$139	63.7¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$110	44.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$80	33.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5?	Science	No	$63	61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$24	54.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$2	1.1¢

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?Science
Yes$139 @ 63.7¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$110 @ 44.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?Science
Yes$80 @ 33.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5?Science
No$63 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 5?Science
Yes$24 @ 54.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 5?Science
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢