← Smart money
0x34b0…d620
SharpEdge
+6.3pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
35% @ 28.4¢
Brier
0.162
Resolved
352
Avg size
$58
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 46% (29/63) | +18% | 63 |
| Sports | 60% (9/15) | +6% | 15 |
| Tech | 25% (1/4) | -37% | 4 |
| Business | 50% (2/4) | +94% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Other63 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (29/63)
- ROI
- +18%
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (9/15)
- ROI
- +6%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -37%
- Business4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +94%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
48% hit · 42/87- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$83 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.9¢
- No$160 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 29.8¢
- Yes$305 @ 31.7¢
- Yes$247 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$267 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.3¢
- No$158 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$463 @ 48.1¢
- Yes$491 @ 12.9¢
- Yes$100 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 43.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
- Astralis$33 @ 66.0¢
- No$140 @ 52.8¢
- Yes$327 @ 66.6¢
- Yes$432 @ 60.5¢
- No$3 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
- No$965 @ 69.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
- Vitality$400 @ 80.0¢
- No$448 @ 86.7¢
- No$15 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$42 @ 22.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 36.9¢
- Yes$173 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Team Falcons$132 @ 88.0¢
- Aurora Gaming$100 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$166 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
- Vitality$440 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 59.6¢
- Yes$44 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
- G2$348 @ 69.0¢
- Vitality$700 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$443 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.1¢
- Vitality$304 @ 60.5¢
- No$89 @ 89.1¢
- No$201 @ 71.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$2.3k @ 93.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 33.5¢
- No$1.9k @ 95.0¢
- No$554 @ 95.0¢
- No$505 @ 65.0¢
- No$370 @ 20.0¢
- No$252 @ 84.0¢
- No$145 @ 96.9¢
- Yes$142 @ 94.6¢
- No$99 @ 99.1¢
- Yes$83 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
- No$21 @ 99.8¢
- No$21 @ 99.4¢
- No$17 @ 98.1¢
- No$11 @ 93.2¢
- No$5 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
- No$3 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢