0x34ab…f1db

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x34ab33da0f9576174aef6996ebae64b7d759f1db
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.8pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

85% @ 80.7¢

Brier

0.072

Resolved

537

Avg size

$198

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	76% (35/46)	+0%	46
Other	61% (20/33)	+18%	33
Sports	60% (3/5)	-11%	5
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics46 bets
Hit rate
76% (35/46)
ROI
+0%
Other33 bets
Hit rate
61% (20/33)
ROI
+18%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-11%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

67% hit · 58/87

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$823	95.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$182	67.4¢	Lost
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$0	72.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$886	88.3¢	Won
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	$282	89.7¢	Won
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$56	80.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$7	71.0¢	Won
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	$1.7k	89.4¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$8	76.0¢	Won
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$110	78.0¢	Lost
Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 10–15%?	Yes	$4	20.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$450	87.9¢	Won
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$46	32.6¢	Lost
Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10?	Yes	$22	89.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$136	22.4¢	Lost
Will Jake Levine advance from the CA-32 primary election?	No	$24	79.3¢	Won
Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 25–30%?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	$838	87.0¢	Won
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$378	83.6¢	Lost
Will John Fleming drop out?	No	$62	88.4¢	Won
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	$1.4k	52.4¢	Lost
Will Sarah Elfreth be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?	Yes	$981	86.9¢	Won
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	$349	85.4¢	Won
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	$142	34.2¢	Lost
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-03-26?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$38	75.6¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$791	76.7¢	Won
James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	$41	82.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$49	38.0¢	Lost
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$14	72.0¢	Won
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?	Yes	$1.5k	86.6¢	Won
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	$456	87.6¢	Won
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	$90	89.6¢	Lost
Will Caesar Gonzales win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	No	$15	89.0¢	Won
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	No	$777	83.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	Yes	$31	80.0¢	Won
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$8	0.7¢	Lost
Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$35	86.8¢	Won
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	$583	77.0¢	Won
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$2.1k	84.7¢	Won
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	$1.2k	77.0¢	Won
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	No	$187	88.5¢	Won
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	$20	17.0¢	Lost
Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?	Yes	$21	89.0¢	Won
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	Yes	$154	88.1¢	Won
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?	Yes	$515	88.2¢	Won
Will Andrew Clyde be the Republican nominee for GA-09?	Yes	$76	89.0¢	Won
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	$815	81.4¢	Won

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$823 @ 95.6¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$182 @ 67.4¢
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$0 @ 72.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$886 @ 88.3¢
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Won
Yes$282 @ 89.7¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$56 @ 80.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$7 @ 71.0¢
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Won
No$1.7k @ 89.4¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$8 @ 76.0¢
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$110 @ 78.0¢
Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 10–15%?Lost
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$450 @ 87.9¢
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$46 @ 32.6¢
Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10?Won
Yes$22 @ 89.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$136 @ 22.4¢
Will Jake Levine advance from the CA-32 primary election?Won
No$24 @ 79.3¢
Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 25–30%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Won
Yes$838 @ 87.0¢
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$378 @ 83.6¢
Will John Fleming drop out?Won
No$62 @ 88.4¢
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?Lost
No$1.4k @ 52.4¢
Will Sarah Elfreth be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?Won
Yes$981 @ 86.9¢
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Won
Yes$349 @ 85.4¢
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?Lost
Yes$142 @ 34.2¢
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-03-26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$38 @ 75.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$791 @ 76.7¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Lost
No$41 @ 82.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$49 @ 38.0¢
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$14 @ 72.0¢
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 86.6¢
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Won
Yes$456 @ 87.6¢
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
No$90 @ 89.6¢
Will Caesar Gonzales win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Won
No$15 @ 89.0¢
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Won
No$777 @ 83.9¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Won
Yes$31 @ 80.0¢
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$35 @ 86.8¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$583 @ 77.0¢
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 84.7¢
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 77.0¢
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?Won
No$187 @ 88.5¢
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?Lost
Yes$20 @ 17.0¢
Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?Won
Yes$21 @ 89.0¢
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?Won
Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Won
Yes$154 @ 88.1¢
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?Won
Yes$515 @ 88.2¢
Will Andrew Clyde be the Republican nominee for GA-09?Won
Yes$76 @ 89.0¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Won
Yes$815 @ 81.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.8k	92.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?	Politics	No	$3.8k	91.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.7k	91.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.7k	91.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.6k	90.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.5k	91.6¢
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	86.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	94.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	89.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.1k	92.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.9k	93.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.8k	88.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	89.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	92.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.5k	90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.5k	90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.5k	91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.4k	91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.3k	87.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.3k	90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	91.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	92.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.1k	90.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	91.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	87.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?	Politics	No	$1.9k	91.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?	Politics	No	$1.8k	91.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	93.0¢

Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.8k @ 92.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?Politics
No$3.8k @ 91.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.7k @ 91.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.7k @ 91.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.6k @ 90.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.5k @ 91.6¢
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 86.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 94.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 89.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.1k @ 92.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.9k @ 93.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.8k @ 88.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 89.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 92.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.5k @ 90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.5k @ 90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.5k @ 91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.4k @ 91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.3k @ 87.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.3k @ 90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 91.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 92.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.1k @ 90.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 91.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 87.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics
No$1.9k @ 91.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?Politics
No$1.8k @ 91.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 93.0¢