← Smart money
0x34a1…7622
SharpEdge
+5.0pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
32% @ 27.5¢
Brier
0.194
Resolved
2342
Avg size
$352
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (20/61) | +33% | 61 |
| Sports | 28% (15/54) | +12% | 54 |
- Other61 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (20/61)
- ROI
- +33%
- Sports54 bets
- Hit rate
- 28% (15/54)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
30% hit · 35/115- Qinwen Zheng$19.9k @ 84.0¢
- Oksana Selekhmeteva$2.3k @ 80.0¢
- Under$247 @ 25.0¢
- Under$31 @ 46.0¢
- Under$24.8k @ 86.0¢
- Under$27.9k @ 32.3¢
- Under$13.6k @ 9.7¢
- Under$1.5k @ 42.9¢
- No$36 @ 3.6¢
- Under$509 @ 22.0¢
- Under$4.3k @ 22.9¢
- Under$36.5k @ 25.6¢
- Under$3.4k @ 28.0¢
- Under$8.0k @ 39.4¢
- Under$6.8k @ 28.6¢
- Under$6.4k @ 47.9¢
- Under$18.0k @ 38.3¢
- Under$13.6k @ 13.0¢
- Under$24.3k @ 21.0¢
- Under$942 @ 7.0¢
- Under$27.9k @ 29.9¢
- Under$9.7k @ 30.4¢
- Under$28.5k @ 43.1¢
- Under$17.3k @ 19.5¢
- Under$16.0k @ 27.9¢
- Under$4.9k @ 36.5¢
- Under$7.3k @ 59.5¢
- Under$1.2k @ 14.8¢
- Under$36.5k @ 33.4¢
- Under$3.0k @ 37.8¢
- Under$1.8k @ 8.9¢
- Under$6.8k @ 39.4¢
- Under$12.8k @ 30.4¢
- Under$996 @ 24.6¢
- Under$6.2k @ 18.5¢
- Federico Arnaboldi$10.5k @ 70.9¢
- Over$749 @ 21.2¢
- Under$5.4k @ 25.3¢
- Under$1.1k @ 36.0¢
- Under$4.6k @ 8.5¢
- Under$5.3k @ 16.7¢
- Under$1.3k @ 13.6¢
- Over$573 @ 63.5¢
- Under$9.4k @ 22.8¢
- Under$36 @ 5.6¢
- Under$9.0k @ 20.7¢
- Under$6.8k @ 9.4¢
- Under$157 @ 2.4¢
- Over$888 @ 52.9¢
- Under$1.2k @ 50.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng | Sports | Qinwen Zheng | $19.9k | 84.0¢ |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | Politics | No | $4.4k | 91.9¢ |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $3.1k | 94.0¢ |
| Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | Sports | Oksana Selekhmeteva | $2.3k | 80.0¢ |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? | Politics | No | $749 | 96.5¢ |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | Politics | No | $172 | 94.0¢ |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Tech | Yes | $119 | 13.0¢ |
- Qinwen Zheng$19.9k @ 84.0¢
- No$4.4k @ 91.9¢
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$3.1k @ 94.0¢
- Oksana Selekhmeteva$2.3k @ 80.0¢
- No$749 @ 96.5¢
- No$172 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$119 @ 13.0¢