0x3472…bc66

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x347214d9b17ea322a570f846346c6fae8a21bc66
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.7pp

ROI

+140%

Win rate

33% @ 25.7¢

Brier

0.151

Resolved

242

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	17% (11/63)	+188%	63
Politics	52% (15/29)	+101%	29
Sports	40% (4/10)	-5%	10

Other63 bets
Hit rate
17% (11/63)
ROI
+188%
Politics29 bets
Hit rate
52% (15/29)
ROI
+101%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
-5%

Track record

29% hit · 30/102

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	$7	39.7¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$20	51.0¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7	0.5¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	83.0¢	Won
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$22	17.5¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$13	29.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$17	2.6¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$10	30.5¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	$5	74.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$25	50.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$6	24.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$7	47.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	$21	17.5¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?	Yes	$15	59.6¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$12	0.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	$3	2.4¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$26	9.4¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	$5	59.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$36	64.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	$4	6.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$21	1.4¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	67.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	$10	8.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$49	45.5¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$5	14.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$3	19.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$28	34.5¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$5	26.0¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$25	45.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$5	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$15	22.9¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	$5	65.7¢	Won
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$10	35.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	$10	32.1¢	Lost

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 39.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$20 @ 51.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 83.0¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 17.5¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$13 @ 29.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$17 @ 2.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 30.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 74.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$25 @ 50.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 24.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$7 @ 47.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$21 @ 17.5¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?Won
Yes$15 @ 59.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$12 @ 0.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.4¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 9.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?Won
Yes$36 @ 64.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 6.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$21 @ 1.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 67.0¢
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
No$49 @ 45.5¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?Lost
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?Lost
Yes$3 @ 19.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$28 @ 34.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 26.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$25 @ 45.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Won
No$15 @ 22.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Won
No$5 @ 65.7¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$25	49.3¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$12	21.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	33.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$10	18.6¢
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$6	0.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	—	Yes	$6	60.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$5	85.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$3	3.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$2	4.0¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.7¢

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$25 @ 49.3¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$12 @ 21.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$10 @ 18.6¢
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?—
Yes$6 @ 60.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$5 @ 85.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢