← Smart money
0x3472…bc66
SharpEdge
+8.1pp
ROI
+81%
Win rate
39% @ 30.8¢
Brier
0.171
Resolved
474
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (40/123) | +126% | 123 |
| Sports | 44% (34/77) | +21% | 77 |
| Politics | 38% (18/48) | -7% | 48 |
| Geopolitics | 90% (9/10) | +33% | 10 |
- Other123 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (40/123)
- ROI
- +126%
- Sports77 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (34/77)
- ROI
- +21%
- Politics48 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (18/48)
- ROI
- -7%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 90% (9/10)
- ROI
- +33%
Track record
39% hit · 101/258- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- No$5 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
- No$2 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.3¢
- No$5 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 44.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
- No$5 @ 80.0¢
- No$7 @ 39.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
- No$2 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.5¢
- No$5 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$22 @ 17.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 29.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
- No$10 @ 30.5¢
- No$5 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
- No$5 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 50.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 17.5¢
- No$5 @ 67.0¢
- No$2 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 59.6¢
- No$12 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$40 @ 49.7¢
- Yes$28 @ 20.5¢
- Yes$26 @ 57.7¢
- Yes$17 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 14.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 18.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
- No$5 @ 8.0¢
- No$5 @ 90.0¢
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?GeopoliticsNo$5 @ 96.1¢
- No$5 @ 71.0¢
- No$5 @ 65.0¢
- No$5 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
- No$2 @ 96.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- No$1 @ 96.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢