← Smart money
0x3413…5204
SharpEdge
+3.9pp
ROI
+40%
Win rate
29% @ 25.2¢
Brier
0.144
Resolved
830
Avg size
$87
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (17/36) | +56% | 36 |
| Sports | 13% (1/8) | -93% | 8 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
- Other36 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (17/36)
- ROI
- +56%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (1/8)
- ROI
- -93%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
Track record
42% hit · 19/45- Yes$9 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$41 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$335 @ 12.8¢
- Yes$29 @ 6.0¢
- No$8.3k @ 45.4¢
- Yes$233 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 6.0¢
- No$6 @ 72.1¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 20.8¢
- No$8 @ 71.5¢
- Yes$25 @ 7.1¢
- England$2 @ 2.8¢
- No$2.1k @ 40.9¢
- Yes$6.0k @ 23.3¢
- No$135 @ 68.6¢
- No$1.5k @ 80.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 33.8¢
- No$256 @ 33.5¢
- Yes$265 @ 49.1¢
- No$67 @ 65.8¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 61.4¢
- No$293 @ 82.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.2¢
- No$120 @ 87.6¢
- No$235 @ 72.8¢
- Yes$799 @ 19.6¢
- Yes$22 @ 12.1¢
- No$352 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$119 @ 22.5¢
- No$1.2k @ 32.2¢
- Yes$195 @ 80.6¢
- Yes$124 @ 8.0¢
- No$25.2k @ 43.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 89.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 34.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 18.9¢
- Yes$145 @ 23.4¢
- Yes$299 @ 20.8¢
- No$825 @ 63.4¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 65.8¢
- Yes$72 @ 69.4¢
- Yes$177 @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $13 | 26.0¢ |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $11 | 27.0¢ |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $1 | 12.0¢ |
- Yes$13 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢