← Smart money
0x33db…7d5a
SharpEdge
+5.4pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
41% @ 35.2¢
Brier
0.192
Resolved
756
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Science | 36% (75/206) | +9% | 206 |
| Other | 42% (63/150) | +5% | 150 |
| Politics | 40% (4/10) | +26% | 10 |
- Science206 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (75/206)
- ROI
- +9%
- Other150 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (63/150)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (4/10)
- ROI
- +26%
Track record
39% hit · 142/366- Yes$3 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
- No$19 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
- No$19 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 41.0¢
- No$20 @ 63.0¢
- No$2 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 39.0¢
- No$4 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 14.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
- No$10 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 50.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 39.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
- No$3 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
- No$3 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
- No$13 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 21.0¢
- No$3 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$18 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
- No$9 @ 69.0¢
- No$10 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | Politics | Yes | $27 | 54.0¢ |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | Tech | No | $18 | 35.3¢ |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | Tech | Yes | $16 | 32.7¢ |
| Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | Sports | Yes | $16 | 79.0¢ |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | Sports | No | $13 | 67.0¢ |
| Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | — | Yes | $11 | 54.3¢ |
| Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Culture | Yes | $10 | 50.0¢ |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | — | Yes | $10 | 48.1¢ |
- Yes$27 @ 54.0¢
- No$18 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 32.7¢
- Yes$16 @ 79.0¢
- No$13 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 54.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 48.1¢