← Smart money
0x3368…1875
SharpEdge
+11.6pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
55% @ 43.0¢
Brier
0.214
Resolved
99
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 41% (14/34) | +45% | 34 |
| Other | 40% (6/15) | -42% | 15 |
| Politics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +49% | 1 |
- Sports34 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (14/34)
- ROI
- +45%
- Other15 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (6/15)
- ROI
- -42%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +49%
Track record
39% hit · 21/54- No$1 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- No$1 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
- No$1 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
- No$1 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 73.8¢
- Yes$14 @ 67.5¢
- Panathinaikos$1 @ 54.0¢
- No$1 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
- No$2 @ 57.5¢
- No$2 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 36.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 35.8¢
- Arda Azkara$1 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 58.6¢
- No$1 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 66.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
- No$1 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- No$1 @ 88.0¢
- No$1 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 64.1¢
- No$1 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 26.6¢
- Nanterre$1 @ 50.0¢
- No$1 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- Belal Muhammad$1 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 51.0¢
- No$1 @ 74.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $13 | 18.0¢ |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 13.5¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 37.1¢ |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 16.5¢ |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 65.0¢ |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Economy | Yes | $1 | 94.9¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.7¢ |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 77.0¢ |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 74.0¢ |
| Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1 | 92.0¢ |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 21.0¢ |
| Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | Culture | Yes | $1 | 9.8¢ |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 39.5¢ |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 9.6¢ |
- Yes$13 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 37.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 94.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 39.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.6¢