← Smart money
0x32d4…b3d3
ProfitableEdge
+7.5pp
ROI
+67%
Win rate
39% @ 31.7¢
Brier
0.247
Resolved
227
Avg size
$58
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 27% (7/26) | -26% | 26 |
| Politics | 53% (9/17) | +166% | 17 |
| Sports | 17% (2/12) | -4% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other26 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (7/26)
- ROI
- -26%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (9/17)
- ROI
- +166%
- Sports12 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (2/12)
- ROI
- -4%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
29% hit · 18/62- Yes$25 @ 62.8¢
- Yes$14 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$421 @ 22.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 37.6¢
- Yes$146 @ 25.5¢
- No$10 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$104 @ 24.3¢
- Yes$102 @ 24.5¢
- Yes$33 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.7¢
- No$200 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 51.2¢
- No$103 @ 18.5¢
- Colombia$45 @ 60.1¢
- Yes$140 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 50.0¢
- Argentina$616 @ 46.5¢
- Yes$104 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$102 @ 49.3¢
- Belgium$34 @ 28.0¢
- No$124 @ 33.2¢
- No$43 @ 42.2¢
- Belgium$406 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 16.0¢
- No$10 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$436 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$34 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 80.8¢
- Yes$44 @ 42.8¢
- Yes$157 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 22.2¢
- No$200 @ 67.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 34.8¢
- Yes$448 @ 8.1¢
- No$347 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 50.7¢
- Yes$175 @ 64.5¢
- Yes$95 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 53.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $817 | 25.7¢ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $429 | 36.5¢ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $316 | 51.3¢ |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | Sports | Yes | $232 | 42.4¢ |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 19.0¢ |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $60 | 20.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $59 | 59.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | Yes | $50 | 73.0¢ |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $20 | 62.0¢ |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $4 | 35.6¢ |
- Yes$817 @ 25.7¢
- Yes$429 @ 36.5¢
- Yes$316 @ 51.3¢
- Yes$232 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 73.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$20 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 35.6¢