← Smart money
0x3290…f4bd
SharpEdge
+5.1pp
ROI
+47%
Win rate
23% @ 17.6¢
Brier
0.146
Resolved
732
Avg size
$10
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 32% (29/90) | +54% | 90 |
| Crypto | 46% (6/13) | +98% | 13 |
| Sports | 18% (2/11) | -62% | 11 |
| Politics | 10% (1/10) | -82% | 10 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other90 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (29/90)
- ROI
- +54%
- Crypto13 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- +98%
- Sports11 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (2/11)
- ROI
- -62%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (1/10)
- ROI
- -82%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
30% hit · 38/126- No$183 @ 6.4¢
- No$1 @ 68.0¢
- No$50 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$13 @ 14.6¢
- Yes$50 @ 38.8¢
- No$69 @ 20.2¢
- No$47 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$161 @ 23.0¢
- No$20 @ 45.6¢
- No$53 @ 33.7¢
- No$5 @ 3.0¢
- No$15 @ 34.0¢
- No$100 @ 6.0¢
- No$268 @ 10.8¢
- No$35 @ 8.7¢
- No$50 @ 39.8¢
- No$26 @ 34.6¢
- Yes$182 @ 23.4¢
- ETH$5 @ 0.8¢
- No$31 @ 12.5¢
- No$15 @ 37.0¢
- $3k$10 @ 39.4¢
- No$6 @ 11.0¢
- No$36 @ 48.6¢
- No$157 @ 22.2¢
- 0x349be0f6…LostNo$24 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$51 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 1.5¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- No$28 @ 4.4¢
- 0x3be93b48…LostNo$190 @ 12.2¢
- No$135 @ 22.4¢
- No$5 @ 5.8¢
- No$238 @ 36.6¢
- No$2 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 23.7¢
- No$15 @ 13.0¢
- 0x51109a2d…WonNo$64 @ 37.7¢
- No$25 @ 49.8¢
- No$13 @ 4.6¢
- No$3 @ 76.0¢
- No$93 @ 9.2¢
- No$16 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$216 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 63.0¢
- No$30 @ 49.0¢
- No$39 @ 8.8¢
- No$7 @ 13.8¢
- No$59 @ 51.0¢
- No$9 @ 3.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $123 | 9.1¢ |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | Crypto | No | $75 | 15.8¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Politics | No | $74 | 31.0¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Politics | No | $25 | 24.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Geopolitics | No | $23 | 22.4¢ |
| Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $20 | 8.6¢ |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Crypto | No | $18 | 4.5¢ |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $16 | 14.0¢ |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 14.0¢ |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $5 | 17.0¢ |
- No$123 @ 9.1¢
- No$75 @ 15.8¢
- No$74 @ 31.0¢
- No$25 @ 24.0¢
- No$23 @ 22.4¢
- No$20 @ 8.6¢
- No$18 @ 4.5¢
- No$16 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 14.0¢
- No$5 @ 17.0¢