0x31e7…18a8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x31e76482d9fd4a4777d044854a4ae529a2f318a8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+23.4pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

88% @ 64.3¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

Avg size

$374

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (15/20)	+26%	20
Politics	75% (3/4)	+17%	4
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other20 bets
Hit rate
75% (15/20)
ROI
+26%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+17%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

72% hit · 18/25

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Hawks vs. Celtics	Celtics	$1.4k	65.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$2.4k	81.0¢	Won
Wizards vs. Warriors	Warriors	$295	82.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	$9	46.0¢	Won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$305	61.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$1.8k	35.0¢	Lost
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars	Houston Cougars	$1.7k	58.0¢	Lost
Heat vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$1.3k	67.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Raptors	Raptors	$2.0k	77.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	$31	60.1¢	Won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils	Connecticut Huskies	$1.9k	32.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$16	78.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	$300	60.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Thunder	Thunder	$1.5k	76.0¢	Won
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Rockets	$650	65.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	$78	9.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$1.6k	77.8¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	$8	81.3¢	Won
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$17	82.9¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	$8	75.0¢	Won
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	$44	87.0¢	Lost
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$10	16.5¢	Lost
Heat vs. Pacers	Heat	$690	69.0¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Pistons	Pistons	$2.6k	65.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	$665	66.5¢	Won

Hawks vs. CelticsWon
Celtics$1.4k @ 65.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$2.4k @ 81.0¢
Wizards vs. WarriorsWon
Warriors$295 @ 82.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Won
No$9 @ 46.0¢
Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersLost
Trail Blazers$305 @ 61.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$1.8k @ 35.0¢
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston CougarsLost
Houston Cougars$1.7k @ 58.0¢
Heat vs. CavaliersWon
Cavaliers$1.3k @ 67.0¢
Pelicans vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$2.0k @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Won
No$31 @ 60.1¢
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue DevilsWon
Connecticut Huskies$1.9k @ 32.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$16 @ 78.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Won
Yes$300 @ 60.0¢
Knicks vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$1.5k @ 76.0¢
Rockets vs. PelicansWon
Rockets$650 @ 65.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Lost
No$78 @ 9.0¢
Warriors vs. NuggetsWon
Nuggets$1.6k @ 77.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Won
Yes$8 @ 81.3¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
No$17 @ 82.9¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Won
Yes$8 @ 75.0¢
Washington Mystics vs. New York LibertyLost
New York Liberty$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 16.5¢
Heat vs. PacersLost
Heat$690 @ 69.0¢
Pelicans vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$2.6k @ 65.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Won
No$665 @ 66.5¢

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