0x31b6…2d92

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x31b6c31371ae09113ae9995e3b93d6bdc35c2d92
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.2pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

47% @ 37.4¢

Brier

0.208

Resolved

509

Avg size

$295

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (127/315)	+18%	315
Sports	25% (1/4)	-63%	4

Other315 bets
Hit rate
40% (127/315)
ROI
+18%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-63%

Track record

40% hit · 128/319

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)	Namsrai Batbayar	$1.5k	30.0¢	Lost
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	No	$600	2.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?	Yes	$500	54.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?	Yes	$100	38.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?	No	$150	58.2¢	Won
Salikhov vs. Medic	Salikhov	$1.3k	46.7¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	Yes	$200	24.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "China" 10 or more times during his Michigan town hall?	No	$100	19.0¢	Lost
Haqparast vs. Salkilld	Salkilld	$1000	50.6¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Kline vs. Martinez	Martinez	$100	11.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Congo" during his Wisconsin speech?	No	$750	54.9¢	Lost
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Della Maddalena	$15	27.0¢	Lost
de Ridder vs. Nickal	de Ridder	$250	24.8¢	Won
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $64-73m?	Yes	$15	4.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?	No	$150	38.7¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Kavanagh	$1.7k	34.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?	No	$50	28.0¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Main Card)	Paris Moran	$1.0k	22.0¢	Lost
Texans vs. Patriots	Texans	$25	75.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Elon" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?	No	$50	22.7¢	Lost
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?	No	$100	36.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "cat" during his Nevada rally?	No	$50	50.5¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley	Buckley	$1000	70.6¢	Lost
Will Kamala say "medical record" during Fox News interview?	No	$100	54.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "vaccine" on The Joe Rogan Experience?	No	$500	44.7¢	Lost
Blonde Broker vs Ashley	Blonde Broker	$25	65.0¢	Won
Will Tim Walz say "Football" during the debate?	No	$100	44.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "make America great again" 3 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?	No	$200	41.1¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Joe Pyfer	$4.4k	44.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "salt" or "SALT" during his North Carolina rally?	No	$200	66.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "North Carolina" 2 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?	No	$300	28.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Will Dolidze win by decision?	Yes	$100	9.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Routh" during the X space?	Yes	$50	31.0¢	Lost
Will Vance say "FEMA" during Detroit rally on October 8?	No	$200	55.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "liquid gold" 2 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?	Yes	$50	63.5¢	Won
Diddy sex tape released before November?	No	$150	76.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Pennsylvania rally?	Yes	$100	22.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?	No	$100	30.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?	Yes	$200	17.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Hispanic" during his Uniondale rally?	No	$100	26.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$150	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Beach" during North Carolina rally on October 21?	No	$500	48.1¢	Lost
49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$25	38.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)	Gilbert Burns	$1.1k	22.0¢	Lost
Naimov vs. Ofli	Naimov	$50	72.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?	Yes	$100	9.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Rogan" during Georgia rally on October 28?	No	$500	35.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?	No	$500	21.9¢	Won
Gamrot vs. Klein	Klein	$500	44.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during North Carolina rally October 22?	No	$500	25.9¢	Lost

UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Namsrai Batbayar$1.5k @ 30.0¢
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Lost
No$600 @ 2.8¢
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Lost
Yes$500 @ 54.7¢
Will Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Lost
Yes$100 @ 38.7¢
Will Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?Won
No$150 @ 58.2¢
Salikhov vs. MedicLost
Salikhov$1.3k @ 46.7¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$200 @ 24.3¢
Will Donald Trump say "China" 10 or more times during his Michigan town hall?Lost
No$100 @ 19.0¢
Haqparast vs. SalkilldWon
Salkilld$1000 @ 50.6¢
UFC Fight Night: Kline vs. MartinezLost
Martinez$100 @ 11.7¢
Will Trump say "Congo" during his Wisconsin speech?Lost
No$750 @ 54.9¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Della Maddalena$15 @ 27.0¢
de Ridder vs. NickalWon
de Ridder$250 @ 24.8¢
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $64-73m?Lost
Yes$15 @ 4.6¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Won
No$150 @ 38.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Kavanagh$1.7k @ 34.0¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?Lost
No$50 @ 28.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Paris Moran$1.0k @ 22.0¢
Texans vs. PatriotsWon
Texans$25 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?Lost
No$50 @ 22.7¢
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?Lost
No$100 @ 36.0¢
Will Trump say "cat" during his Nevada rally?Won
No$50 @ 50.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. BuckleyLost
Buckley$1000 @ 70.6¢
Will Kamala say "medical record" during Fox News interview? Won
No$100 @ 54.9¢
Will Trump say "vaccine" on The Joe Rogan Experience?Lost
No$500 @ 44.7¢
Blonde Broker vs AshleyWon
Blonde Broker$25 @ 65.0¢
Will Tim Walz say "Football" during the debate?Lost
No$100 @ 44.5¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "make America great again" 3 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Lost
No$200 @ 41.1¢
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Joe Pyfer$4.4k @ 44.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "salt" or "SALT" during his North Carolina rally?Won
No$200 @ 66.4¢
Will Trump say "North Carolina" 2 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Lost
No$300 @ 28.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Will Dolidze win by decision? Lost
Yes$100 @ 9.8¢
Will Trump say "Routh" during the X space?Lost
Yes$50 @ 31.0¢
Will Vance say "FEMA" during Detroit rally on October 8?Lost
No$200 @ 55.0¢
Will Trump say "liquid gold" 2 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Won
Yes$50 @ 63.5¢
Diddy sex tape released before November? Won
No$150 @ 76.8¢
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Pennsylvania rally?Lost
Yes$100 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Won
No$100 @ 30.6¢
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?Lost
Yes$200 @ 17.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "Hispanic" during his Uniondale rally?Lost
No$100 @ 26.0¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
No$150 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "Beach" during North Carolina rally on October 21?Lost
No$500 @ 48.1¢
49ers vs. SeahawksLost
Seahawks$25 @ 38.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Gilbert Burns$1.1k @ 22.0¢
Naimov vs. OfliWon
Naimov$50 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Lost
Yes$100 @ 9.4¢
Will Trump say "Rogan" during Georgia rally on October 28?Won
No$500 @ 35.4¢
Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?Won
No$500 @ 21.9¢
Gamrot vs. KleinLost
Klein$500 @ 44.5¢
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during North Carolina rally October 22?Lost
No$500 @ 25.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Dana White's Contender Series: Liam McCracken vs. Silvestre Sanchez (Lightweight, Main Card)	—	Liam McCracken	$1.7k	56.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)	—	Namsrai Batbayar	$1.5k	30.0¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	—	Mauricio Ruffy	$1.4k	27.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sports	Paris Moran	$1000	22.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$552	2.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. Ruchała	—	Ruchała	$10	31.0¢

Dana White's Contender Series: Liam McCracken vs. Silvestre Sanchez (Lightweight, Main Card)—
Liam McCracken$1.7k @ 56.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)—
Namsrai Batbayar$1.5k @ 30.0¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)—
Mauricio Ruffy$1.4k @ 27.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Main Card)Sports
Paris Moran$1000 @ 22.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$552 @ 2.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. Ruchała—
Ruchała$10 @ 31.0¢