0x31a5…b589

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x31a5de21b1900ca96d81d166d49d26a39039b589
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+21.0pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

94% @ 72.8¢

Brier

0.100

Resolved

Avg size

$472

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (6/8)	+34%	8
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+25%	1

Other8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+34%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+25%

Track record

78% hit · 7/9

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	$101	86.0¢	Won
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	$162	33.6¢	Lost
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	No	$113	90.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$14.4k	59.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$23.0k	77.3¢	Won
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	$241	80.1¢	Won
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	$2.1k	70.5¢	Lost
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$676	64.7¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$5.0k	86.4¢	Won

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageWon
TheMongolz$101 @ 86.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Lost
Yes$162 @ 33.6¢
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Won
No$113 @ 90.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$14.4k @ 59.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$23.0k @ 77.3¢
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Won
No$241 @ 80.1¢
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Lost
No$2.1k @ 70.5¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
Yes$676 @ 64.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$5.0k @ 86.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Politics	No	$26.0k	97.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$12.3k	98.3¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$10.8k	99.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Politics	No	$10.7k	99.0¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	—	No	$612	98.8¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	—	No	$292	98.8¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics
No$26.0k @ 97.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$12.3k @ 98.3¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$10.8k @ 99.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Politics
No$10.7k @ 99.0¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?—
No$612 @ 98.8¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?—
No$292 @ 98.8¢