0x3183…c5eb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x318366cb3fe18323f28b294e8f7d987a91a1c5eb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.0pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

77% @ 58.0¢

Brier

0.081

Resolved

Avg size

$45

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Tech	100% (3/3)	+56%	3
Crypto	100% (3/3)	+37%	3
Sports	50% (1/2)	-91%	2
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Other	100% (2/2)	+44%	2

Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+56%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+37%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-91%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+44%

Track record

75% hit · 9/12

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$45	76.1¢	Won
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	No	$168	50.7¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?	Yes	$52	85.4¢	Won
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	$4	88.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$52	2.3¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.3k	82.6¢	Won
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$362	12.9¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$801	66.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$37	1.6¢	Lost
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	63.2¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$25	60.0¢	Won

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Won
Yes$45 @ 76.1¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?Won
No$168 @ 50.7¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Won
Yes$52 @ 85.4¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 88.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$52 @ 2.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 82.6¢
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$362 @ 12.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$801 @ 66.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$37 @ 1.6¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 63.2¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
Yes$25 @ 60.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?	—	No	$306	81.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$248	59.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$148	47.1¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$141	91.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$40	12.1¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?	—	Yes	$10	34.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$2	22.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	—	Yes	$1	83.0¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.0¢

Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?—
No$306 @ 81.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech
No$248 @ 59.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$148 @ 47.1¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$141 @ 91.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$40 @ 12.1¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?—
Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?—
Yes$1 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢