← Smart money
0x30ea…8727
SharpEdge
+14.6pp
ROI
+35%
Win rate
72% @ 57.6¢
Brier
0.192
Resolved
104
Avg size
$8
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 65% (11/17) | +49% | 17 |
| Other | 65% (11/17) | +41% | 17 |
| Politics | 75% (6/8) | +36% | 8 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -9% | 2 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -7% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +100% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
- Sports17 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (11/17)
- ROI
- +49%
- Other17 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (11/17)
- ROI
- +41%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +36%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -9%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -7%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
Track record
67% hit · 32/48- HANJIN BRION$100 @ 67.9¢
- Team WE$100 @ 57.0¢
- Down$26 @ 59.3¢
- Down$32 @ 68.3¢
- LYON$1 @ 61.0¢
- Cloud9$48 @ 48.4¢
- LYON$1 @ 61.0¢
- Estral Esports$8 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 14.2¢
- No$47 @ 95.1¢
- No$100 @ 77.2¢
- No$46 @ 82.3¢
- No$7 @ 59.7¢
- Colossal Gaming$3 @ 80.1¢
- No$54 @ 98.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 82.1¢
- The Otter Side$1 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 70.2¢
- Sentinels$3 @ 64.7¢
- JD Gaming$23 @ 56.2¢
- Arman Tsarukyan$10 @ 74.0¢
- The Otter Side$43 @ 68.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 73.0¢
- Team Liquid$15 @ 24.9¢
- No$58 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 29.1¢
- Movistar KOI$51 @ 63.1¢
- Under$1 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$101 @ 87.9¢
- JD Gaming$9 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 40.5¢
- FlyQuest$16 @ 63.9¢
- No$23 @ 64.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 64.9¢
- The Otter Side$51 @ 65.4¢
- Karmine Corp$102 @ 57.7¢
- The Otter Side$31 @ 59.6¢
- Sentinels$13 @ 84.0¢
- FlyQuest$16 @ 44.9¢
- RED Canids$1 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 37.4¢
- JD Gaming$7 @ 59.0¢
- No$1 @ 80.0¢
- JD Gaming$8 @ 62.0¢
- Natus Vincere$5 @ 22.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | Sports | HANJIN BRION | $100 | 67.9¢ |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 73.0¢ |
| LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | Sports | Team WE | $100 | 57.0¢ |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $90 | 68.8¢ |
| Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 51.0¢ |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $10 | 70.0¢ |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 86.0¢ |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | Geopolitics | No | $1 | 83.0¢ |
- HANJIN BRION$100 @ 67.9¢
- Yes$100 @ 73.0¢
- Team WE$100 @ 57.0¢
- No$90 @ 68.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢