0x3076…1f69

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x30762e7e8137dfd0ac2c30ef9dc2ddf705991f69
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

51% @ 44.2¢

Brier

0.209

Resolved

310

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (115/205)	+39%	205
Sports	20% (1/5)	-57%	5
Politics	20% (1/5)	-53%	5
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-24%	2

Other205 bets
Hit rate
56% (115/205)
ROI
+39%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-57%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-53%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-24%

Track record

54% hit · 118/217

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	$1	59.0¢	Lost
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
PGL Astana: Spirit vs. GamerLegion	Spirit	$2	89.0¢	Won
Will LockedIn Poker reach his $100k goal by August 31?	No	$0	9.0¢	Won
Google forced to sell Chrome?	No	$4	80.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$1	70.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)	Liquid	$2	67.1¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)	TheMongolz	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Barnett vs. Abdelwahab	Barnett	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)	Spirit	$5	70.0¢	Won
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$7	31.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$7	73.0¢	Lost
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?	Yes	$6	19.0¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?	Yes	$9	11.0¢	Lost
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$7	72.0¢	Won
Will Roblox say "Creator" during earnings call?	Yes	$1	55.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$7	53.0¢	Won
Will FURIA win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $3k or $4k first?	4000	$1	37.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	FURIA	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$5	40.6¢	Lost
Will Pump.fun reach $0.010 before August?	No	$5	30.3¢	Won
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. FaZe	Aurora	$2	60.0¢	Won
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. Natus Vincere	Spirit	$2	71.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$2	60.2¢	Won
2024 October hottest on record?	No	$1	75.0¢	Won
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$1	30.0¢	Lost
Rakic vs. Murzakanov	Murzakanov	$2	50.0¢	Won
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	No	$6	56.0¢	Won
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	$5	34.0¢	Lost
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?	No	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will HEROIC win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?	No	$0	62.0¢	Won
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?	No	$9	59.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?	No	$5	65.0¢	Lost
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?	Yes	$9	45.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	TheMongolz	$1	19.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	PARIVISION	$1	20.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$6	74.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)	FURIA	$1	27.0¢	Won
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	65.0¢	Won
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?	No	$3	21.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?	No	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	Spirit	$2	63.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $170 in April?	No	$3	69.5¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	PARIVISION	$1	75.0¢	Lost

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsLost
Spirit$1 @ 59.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
PGL Astana: Spirit vs. GamerLegionWon
Spirit$2 @ 89.0¢
Will LockedIn Poker reach his $100k goal by August 31?Won
No$0 @ 9.0¢
Google forced to sell Chrome?Won
No$4 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$1 @ 70.0¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)Won
Liquid$2 @ 67.1¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)Lost
TheMongolz$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
Barnett vs. AbdelwahabLost
Barnett$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)Won
Spirit$5 @ 70.0¢
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$7 @ 31.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
No$7 @ 73.0¢
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?Won
Yes$6 @ 19.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?Lost
Yes$9 @ 11.0¢
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
No$7 @ 72.0¢
Will Roblox say "Creator" during earnings call?Won
Yes$1 @ 55.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 53.0¢
Will FURIA win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $3k or $4k first?Won
4000$1 @ 37.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsLost
FURIA$2 @ 32.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$5 @ 40.6¢
Will Pump.fun reach $0.010 before August?Won
No$5 @ 30.3¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. FaZeWon
Aurora$2 @ 60.0¢
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. Natus VincereWon
Spirit$2 @ 71.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$2 @ 60.2¢
2024 October hottest on record?Won
No$1 @ 75.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 30.0¢
Rakic vs. MurzakanovWon
Murzakanov$2 @ 50.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Won
No$6 @ 56.0¢
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Lost
No$1 @ 19.0¢
Will HEROIC win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?Won
No$0 @ 62.0¢
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?Lost
No$9 @ 59.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Lost
No$5 @ 65.0¢
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?Lost
Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageWon
TheMongolz$1 @ 19.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsLost
PARIVISION$1 @ 20.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 74.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)Won
FURIA$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Lost
No$3 @ 21.0¢
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?Won
No$4 @ 80.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AWon
Spirit$2 @ 63.0¢
Will Solana reach $170 in April?Won
No$3 @ 69.5¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Lost
PARIVISION$1 @ 75.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$82	89.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$5	72.0¢
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$5	31.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$2	9.7¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$2	52.7¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$1	73.0¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$1	69.0¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$82 @ 89.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 72.0¢
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$5 @ 31.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$2 @ 9.7¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$2 @ 52.7¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$1 @ 73.0¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 69.0¢