← Smart money
0x3068…083d
SharpEdge
+7.2pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
65% @ 58.2¢
Brier
0.197
Resolved
1695
Avg size
$44
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 63% (257/405) | -1% | 405 |
| Politics | 73% (29/40) | +21% | 40 |
| Geopolitics | 86% (6/7) | +28% | 7 |
| Sports | 40% (2/5) | +212% | 5 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other405 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (257/405)
- ROI
- -1%
- Politics40 bets
- Hit rate
- 73% (29/40)
- ROI
- +21%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (6/7)
- ROI
- +28%
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +212%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
64% hit · 295/461- No$69 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$509 @ 30.4¢
- No$3 @ 40.0¢
- No$135 @ 50.8¢
- No$16 @ 25.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
- No$26 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 34.0¢
- No$191 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$647 @ 71.0¢
- No$173 @ 85.8¢
- No$15 @ 81.3¢
- No$76 @ 67.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
- No$178 @ 78.6¢
- No$23 @ 67.1¢
- No$26 @ 28.3¢
- Will Leavitt say "International Criminal Court" or "ICC" during the next White House press briefing?WonNo$10 @ 73.0¢
- No$180 @ 79.7¢
- No$413 @ 41.4¢
- Yes$205 @ 8.0¢
- No$12 @ 48.0¢
- No$113 @ 70.2¢
- No$2 @ 65.0¢
- No$255 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 10.5¢
- No$55 @ 46.6¢
- No$58 @ 87.0¢
- No$340 @ 58.0¢
- No$50 @ 88.9¢
- No$214 @ 26.6¢
- No$164 @ 79.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$600 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 58.0¢
- No$20 @ 49.2¢
- Yes$76 @ 60.6¢
- No$4 @ 74.0¢
- No$179 @ 74.0¢
- No$198 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$354 @ 83.5¢
- No$451 @ 71.8¢
- No$8 @ 88.4¢
- No$377 @ 40.2¢
- No$20 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$215 @ 84.4¢
- No$120 @ 89.6¢
- No$122 @ 80.9¢
- No$465 @ 76.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Crypto | Yes | $4.0k | 37.8¢ |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Crypto | Yes | $1.5k | 70.1¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $376 | 39.3¢ |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | Tech | Yes | $145 | 44.4¢ |
| Will Trump say "Javelin" in September? | Politics | No | $107 | 57.1¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $60 | 12.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $60 | 15.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" in September? | Politics | No | $10 | 69.0¢ |
- Yes$4.0k @ 37.8¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 70.1¢
- Yes$376 @ 39.3¢
- Yes$145 @ 44.4¢
- No$107 @ 57.1¢
- Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 15.0¢
- No$10 @ 69.0¢