0x3032…99e7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x30328330513d01e16174d53d98c2047ef35c99e7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.8pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

88% @ 73.7¢

Brier

0.073

Resolved

356

Avg size

$218

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	81% (79/98)	+7%	98
Politics	83% (30/36)	+14%	36
Crypto	95% (19/20)	+32%	20
Geopolitics	100% (9/9)	+14%	9
Sports	83% (5/6)	+2%	6
Tech	100% (5/5)	+24%	5
Economy	100% (1/1)	+27%	1

Other98 bets
Hit rate
81% (79/98)
ROI
+7%
Politics36 bets
Hit rate
83% (30/36)
ROI
+14%
Crypto20 bets
Hit rate
95% (19/20)
ROI
+32%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
100% (9/9)
ROI
+14%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+2%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+24%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%

Track record

85% hit · 148/175

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	No	$1.5k	87.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	$600	92.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	$500	89.7¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	No	$1.5k	87.0¢	Won
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$400	63.1¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	No	$200	78.7¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$300	77.9¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$200	60.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	$300	79.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$300	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	$500	82.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	$285	80.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$500	89.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?	No	$400	85.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$200	69.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	$1.5k	86.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	No	$300	85.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?	No	$328	82.0¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	$300	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	No	$500	94.9¢	Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	No	$300	84.9¢	Won
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$300	80.0¢	Won
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$1000	74.7¢	Lost
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$500	76.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	No	$1000	87.0¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$300	84.6¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$500	46.6¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$300	84.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	No	$300	86.0¢	Won
US bank failure by July 31?	No	$300	85.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?	No	$500	84.8¢	Won
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	No	$300	76.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	$300	87.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$200	85.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	$300	91.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?	No	$500	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?	No	$300	82.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?	No	$200	63.0¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$300	81.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$200	73.0¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$100	82.3¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$300	82.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?	No	$28	85.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$300	82.8¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$1.5k	95.2¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	No	$300	84.1¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$200	83.5¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?	No	$500	78.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$200	86.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$1000	80.3¢	Won

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Won
No$1.5k @ 87.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?Won
No$600 @ 92.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Won
No$500 @ 89.7¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
No$1.5k @ 87.0¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$400 @ 63.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?Won
No$200 @ 78.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$300 @ 77.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 60.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Won
No$300 @ 79.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Won
No$500 @ 82.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Won
No$285 @ 80.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Won
No$500 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?Lost
No$400 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Won
No$1.5k @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Won
No$300 @ 85.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?Won
No$328 @ 82.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Won
No$300 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Lost
No$500 @ 94.9¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 84.9¢
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
No$300 @ 80.0¢
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 74.7¢
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
Yes$500 @ 76.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Won
No$1000 @ 87.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
No$300 @ 84.6¢
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Lost
Yes$500 @ 46.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$300 @ 84.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Won
No$300 @ 86.0¢
US bank failure by July 31?Lost
No$300 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Won
No$500 @ 84.8¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 76.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Won
No$300 @ 87.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$200 @ 85.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 91.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Won
No$500 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Won
No$300 @ 82.0¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?Won
No$200 @ 63.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$300 @ 81.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$200 @ 73.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$100 @ 82.3¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$300 @ 82.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Won
No$28 @ 85.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Lost
No$300 @ 82.8¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 95.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Won
No$300 @ 84.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Won
Yes$200 @ 83.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?Won
No$500 @ 78.0¢
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$200 @ 86.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$1000 @ 80.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	—	No	$1.6k	84.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	—	No	$1.4k	84.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	—	No	$1.2k	86.7¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	—	No	$905	81.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?	—	No	$900	80.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	—	No	$815	81.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September?	—	No	$800	83.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$800	66.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	—	No	$730	86.0¢
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$664	86.8¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Politics	No	$625	82.5¢
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	—	Yes	$480	80.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?	—	No	$450	82.3¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	—	Yes	$438	85.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	—	No	$432	86.5¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in September?	—	No	$420	84.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in September?	—	No	$321	80.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?	—	No	$300	81.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	—	No	$300	81.0¢
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	—	Yes	$300	73.6¢
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	—	Yes	$236	59.0¢
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	—	Yes	$201	48.0¢
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	—	No	$200	61.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September?	—	No	$200	84.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	—	No	$200	75.0¢
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$156	85.0¢
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	—	Yes	$145	44.0¢
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?	Politics	No	$100	80.2¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?	—	No	$34	84.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	—	No	$25	85.2¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?—
No$1.6k @ 84.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?—
No$1.4k @ 84.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?—
No$1.2k @ 86.7¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?—
No$905 @ 81.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?—
No$900 @ 80.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?—
No$815 @ 81.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September?—
No$800 @ 83.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$800 @ 66.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?—
No$730 @ 86.0¢
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$664 @ 86.8¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics
No$625 @ 82.5¢
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?—
Yes$480 @ 80.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?—
No$450 @ 82.3¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?—
Yes$438 @ 85.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?—
No$432 @ 86.5¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in September?—
No$420 @ 84.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in September?—
No$321 @ 80.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?—
No$300 @ 81.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?—
No$300 @ 81.0¢
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?—
Yes$300 @ 73.6¢
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?—
Yes$236 @ 59.0¢
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?—
Yes$201 @ 48.0¢
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?—
No$200 @ 61.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September?—
No$200 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?—
No$200 @ 75.0¢
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?—
No$156 @ 85.0¢
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?—
Yes$145 @ 44.0¢
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Politics
No$100 @ 80.2¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?—
No$34 @ 84.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?—
No$25 @ 85.2¢