0x3032…99e7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x30328330513d01e16174d53d98c2047ef35c99e7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.9pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

87% @ 75.4¢

Brier

0.093

Resolved

709

Avg size

$213

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (125/166)	+2%	166
Politics	80% (63/79)	+9%	79
Crypto	92% (46/50)	+22%	50
Geopolitics	94% (16/17)	+13%	17
Business	81% (13/16)	-2%	16
Tech	90% (9/10)	+22%	10
Sports	80% (8/10)	+17%	10
Economy	50% (2/4)	-43%	4

Other166 bets
Hit rate
75% (125/166)
ROI
+2%
Politics79 bets
Hit rate
80% (63/79)
ROI
+9%
Crypto50 bets
Hit rate
92% (46/50)
ROI
+22%
Geopolitics17 bets
Hit rate
94% (16/17)
ROI
+13%
Business16 bets
Hit rate
81% (13/16)
ROI
-2%
Tech10 bets
Hit rate
90% (9/10)
ROI
+22%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
80% (8/10)
ROI
+17%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-43%

Track record

80% hit · 282/352

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	$252	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	$800	93.6¢	Won
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?	Yes	$100	65.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	No	$300	89.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	No	$694	95.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?	No	$300	94.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?	No	$12	86.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	No	$200	83.0¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?	No	$400	82.5¢	Won
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$200	63.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	No	$2.5k	94.9¢	Lost
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	No	$100	30.7¢	Lost
Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	$200	67.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	No	$300	93.5¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in July?	No	$200	79.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	$500	82.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?	No	$200	82.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	$100	67.9¢	Lost
Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launch	No	$440	73.0¢	Won
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$200	83.3¢	Lost
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$200	72.3¢	Lost
Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$200	67.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?	No	$34	66.0¢	Lost
Will BNB dip to $600 in June?	No	$350	70.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Sinners	$100	63.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	No	$8	82.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	$200	88.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	$212	82.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	$1000	84.7¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$200	87.7¢	Won
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$200	95.0¢	Won
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	$340	85.9¢	Won
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$375	80.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	$300	87.0¢	Won
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	$200	73.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	$100	85.5¢	Won
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	$100	88.7¢	Won
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	No	$425	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	$155	91.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	$880	88.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	$860	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	$300	84.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	$300	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	$200	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	$500	89.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	$430	86.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	No	$420	84.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	$425	85.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$270	90.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	$300	89.0¢	Won

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?Won
No$252 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Won
No$800 @ 93.6¢
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?Lost
Yes$100 @ 65.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?Lost
No$300 @ 89.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Won
No$694 @ 95.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?Won
No$300 @ 94.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?Won
No$12 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 83.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?Won
No$400 @ 82.5¢
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?Lost
No$200 @ 63.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Lost
No$2.5k @ 94.9¢
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$100 @ 30.7¢
Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?Lost
No$200 @ 67.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 93.5¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in July?Won
No$200 @ 79.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Lost
No$500 @ 82.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?Won
No$200 @ 82.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Lost
No$100 @ 67.9¢
Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchWon
No$440 @ 73.0¢
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
No$200 @ 83.3¢
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
No$200 @ 72.3¢
Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Won
No$200 @ 67.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Lost
No$34 @ 66.0¢
Will BNB dip to $600 in June?Lost
No$350 @ 70.0¢
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Lost
Sinners$100 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?Lost
No$8 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Lost
Yes$200 @ 88.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Lost
No$212 @ 82.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Won
Yes$1000 @ 84.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$200 @ 87.7¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
No$200 @ 95.0¢
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?Won
No$340 @ 85.9¢
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
No$375 @ 80.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
Yes$300 @ 87.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 73.9¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 85.5¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 88.7¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?Won
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Won
No$155 @ 91.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Won
No$880 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Won
No$860 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Won
No$300 @ 84.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Won
No$300 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Won
No$200 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Won
No$500 @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Won
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?Won
No$420 @ 84.0¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Lost
Yes$425 @ 85.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$270 @ 90.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Won
No$300 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?	—	No	$1000	65.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	—	No	$1000	84.4¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Business	No	$976	85.2¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$900	66.4¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	Business	No	$799	84.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	Crypto	No	$740	84.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?	Other	No	$730	86.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Other	No	$700	81.6¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in November?	Business	No	$690	86.3¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	Business	No	$690	78.9¢
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$552	41.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Geopolitics	Yes	$530	77.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Other	No	$502	78.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Other	No	$500	74.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	—	No	$500	94.9¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	Business	No	$430	86.0¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Economy	Yes	$425	85.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$400	88.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	—	Yes	$380	84.4¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Politics	Yes	$380	76.0¢
Will BNB dip to $600 in June?	Crypto	No	$350	70.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $250 in November?	Business	No	$300	82.0¢
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Politics	No	$300	60.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	—	No	$300	82.8¢
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Politics	Yes	$300	93.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?	Crypto	No	$300	83.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	—	No	$300	89.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November?	Crypto	No	$300	86.0¢
US bank failure by July 31?	—	No	$300	85.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Other	No	$300	85.0¢

Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?—
No$1000 @ 65.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?—
No$1000 @ 84.4¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?Business
No$976 @ 85.2¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics
No$900 @ 66.4¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?Business
No$799 @ 84.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?Crypto
No$740 @ 84.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?Other
No$730 @ 86.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Other
No$700 @ 81.6¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in November?Business
No$690 @ 86.3¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?Business
No$690 @ 78.9¢
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$552 @ 41.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Geopolitics
Yes$530 @ 77.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?Other
No$502 @ 78.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Other
No$500 @ 74.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?—
No$500 @ 94.9¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?Business
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Economy
Yes$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Crypto
No$400 @ 88.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?—
Yes$380 @ 84.4¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Politics
Yes$380 @ 76.0¢
Will BNB dip to $600 in June?Crypto
No$350 @ 70.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $250 in November?Business
No$300 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?Politics
No$300 @ 60.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?—
No$300 @ 82.8¢
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Politics
Yes$300 @ 93.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?Crypto
No$300 @ 83.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?—
No$300 @ 89.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November?Crypto
No$300 @ 86.0¢
US bank failure by July 31?—
No$300 @ 85.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Other
No$300 @ 85.0¢